Will Russia Declare War, by the Time You Read This? By James Reed

NATO is already performing a proxy war against Russia, not only through supplying weapons, but also giving  intelligence leading to the Ukraine being able to kill record number of generals, more than enough to repeat World War I, with the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand  being the spark. There is thought that Russia may now make it official and formally declare war. Then, it will really be on, for it will not be long before communist China invades Taiwan, seeing the West divided, and then, the world will be at war, once more, maybe for the last time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EVupUxzShuI

https://www.9news.com.au/world/russia-ukraine-update-why-may-9-is-a-big-day-for-russia-explainer/c8df4114-7855-4638-95ed-fb94b1693f05

“Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, and since then President Vladimir Putin has insisted that his troops are carrying out a "special military operation" instead of a war.

But speculation is growing that this could change in the coming days.

Western officials believe Putin could formally declare war on Ukraine as soon as May 9, a symbolic day for Russia paving the way for him to step his campaign.

May 9, known as "Victory Day" inside Russia, commemorates the country's defeat of the Nazis in 1945.

It is marked by a military parade in Moscow, and Russian leaders traditionally stand on the tomb of Vladimir Lenin in Red Square to observe it.

May 9 is designed to show off to the home crowd, to intimidate the opposition and to please the dictator of the time," James Nixey, director of the Russia-Eurasia Programme at the Chatham House think tank in London, said.

Western officials have long believed that Putin would leverage the symbolic significance and propaganda value of the day to announce either a military achievement in Ukraine, a major escalation of hostilities - or both.

The Russian president has a keen eye for symbolism, having launched the invasion of Ukraine the day after Defender of the Fatherland Day, another crucial military day in Russia.

Putin has many options on the table, according to Oleg Ignatov, senior analyst for Russia at Crisis Group.

"Declaring war is the toughest scenario," he said.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy - who has not formally declared war on Russia - imposed martial law in Ukraine when the Russian invasion began in late February.

Another option for Putin is to enact Russia's mobilisation law, which can be used to start a general or partial military mobilisation "in cases of aggression against the Russian Federation or a direct threat of aggression, the outbreak of armed conflicts directed against the Russian Federation".

That would allow the government not just to assemble troops but also to put the country's economy on a war footing.”

 

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Tuesday, 07 May 2024

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