Wheels Falling Off the Climate Change Alarmist Cart, By James Reed
A paper by J. Kubicki et al., "Climatic Consequences of the Process of Saturation of Radiation Absorption in Gases," Applications in Engineering Science vol. 17, March 2024, delivers more bad news for the climate change alarmist position, held by the UN IPCC and the World Economic Forum, and as well, by most governments in the West. This alarmist position points the finger at carbon dioxide as being the principal gas responsible for the "greenhouse effect," and hence any alleged warming of the planet. The problem is, the Earth is simply not a literal greenhouse. The authors present evidence, as well as atheoretical model based upon the idea of a "saturation mass," where gases such as carbon dioxide have beyond this mass, a limit to the absorption of radiation. Beyond this point, the atmosphere will not absorb more heat. This means that a crucial part of the mainstream climate change narrative is refuted; there will be no runaway temperature changes, as in Venus. And this will at least on a theoretical level undermine the attack upon the use of fossil fuels, and farming.
https://vigilantnews.com/post/scientific-bombshell-shatters-the-climate-narrative/
"A groundbreaking new study published in Applications in Engineering Science challenges the increasingly prevalent narrative that rising atmospheric CO2 levels will lead to catastrophic climate change. The research, conducted by scientists at the Military University of Technology in Poland, suggests that the impact of additional CO2 emissions on global temperatures may be far less significant than commonly portrayed.1
The study, titled "Climatic consequences of the process of saturation of radiation absorption in gases," introduces the concept of "saturation mass" – the amount of an absorbing gas above which further increases produce negligible additional absorption of radiation. Through laboratory experiments and theoretical analysis, the researchers determined that for CO2, this saturation mass is approximately 0.6 kg/m2.2
Critically, the authors note that the current amount of CO2 in Earth's atmosphere is already over 6 kg/m2 – about ten times the saturation mass. This implies that additional CO2 emissions may have little to no further warming effect, as the gas has already absorbed nearly all the infrared radiation it can within its absorption spectrum.3
"It should be noted that unlike the used cuvette, the vertical structure of the atmosphere undergoes changes in both pressure and temperature," the authors write. "Nevertheless, the question arises as to whether the additionally emitted carbon dioxide into the atmosphere will absorb thermal radiation."4
The study's findings align with the work of independent researchers like Randall Carlson, who have long argued that the climate impact of CO2 has been overstated while its benefits are often ignored. In his essay "The Redemption of the Beast: The Carbon Cycle and the Demonization of CO2," Carlson contends that rising CO2 levels are having an overall positive effect on the biosphere.5
Carlson writes: "Hundreds of studies have consistently demonstrated significant improvements in plant growth, crop yields, and drought resistance under elevated CO2 conditions." He cites research showing that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 increased agricultural yields by an average of 33%.6
Furthermore, Carlson points to evidence of global greening in recent decades, with satellite data showing an 8% increase in vegetation cover in Australia from 1981-2006 and increased foliage cover across Earth's warm, arid environments in proportion to rising CO2 levels. Some studies attribute 70% of observed greening to the CO2 fertilization effect.7
The new Polish study adds weight to Carlson's argument that the prevailing narrative around CO2 and climate change may be overly simplistic and alarmist. The researchers conclude: "This unequivocally suggests that the officially presented impact of anthropogenic CO2 increase on Earth's climate is merely a hypothesis rather than a substantiated fact."8
While acknowledging the need for responsible environmental stewardship, the study's authors caution against unsubstantiated arguments that could hinder economic development. They call for more empirical research to definitively resolve disputed issues in climate science.
"In science, especially in the natural sciences, we should strive to present a true picture of reality, primarily through empirical knowledge," the researchers assert.9
This study, along with the work of independent thinkers like Randall Carlson, underscores the need for a more nuanced and empirically-grounded approach to understanding CO2's role in Earth's complex climate system. As the scientific debate continues, it's clear that simplistic narratives about CO2 as an unmitigated environmental threat may not align with the latest research findings.
Furthermore, advocates of the prevailing global warming narrative that focuses myopically on carbon dioxide and methane emissions, including Bill Gates, are taking this view to such extremes that recently, Bill Gates suggested a methane vaccine scheme to 'fight climate change.'
Clearly the thinking has gone in the wrong direction, and we need to have deeper, more open, and more constructive discussions around how anthropogenic climate change is affecting the environment, e.g. asking questions on how are microplastics and the petroleum industry as a whole polluting our bodies and our environment.
References
1: Jan Kubicki, Krzysztof Kopczynski, and Jarosław Młynczak, "Climatic consequences of the process of saturation of radiation absorption in gases," Applications in Engineering Science 17 (2024): 100170, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apples.2023.100170.
2: Ibid.
3: Ibid.
4: Ibid.
5: Randall Carlson, "The Redemption of the Beast: The Carbon Cycle and the Demonization of CO2," GreenMedInfo, April 14, 2024, https://www.greenmedinfo.com/blog/demonization-co2-challenging-prevailing-narrative.
6: Ibid.
7: Ibid.
8: Kubicki, Kopczynski, and Młynczak, "Climatic consequences."
9: Ibid."
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