Unvaccinated Just as Infectious as Vaccinated: A Survey of the Evidence By Brian Simpson

Vaccinated persons who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 to be no less infectious than unvaccinated persons. The are multiple sources of evidence for this, from scientific studies, to empirical observations of populations. A summary now follows giving material for anti-vaxxers.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.11.12.21265796v1

“Transmission potential of vaccinated and unvaccinated persons infected with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in a federal prison, July—August 2021

Phillip P. Salvatore, Christine C. Lee, Sadia Sleweon, David W. McCormick, Lavinia Nicolae, Kristen Knipe, Thomas Dixon, Robert Banta, Isaac Ogle, Cristen Young, Charles Dusseau, Shawn Salmonson, Charles Ogden, Eric Godwin, TeCora Ballom, Tara Ross, Nhien Tran Wynn, Ebenezer David, Theresa K. Bessey, Gimin Kim, Suganthi Suppiah, Azaibi Tamin, Jennifer L. Harcourt, Mili Sheth, Luis Lowe, Hannah Browne, Jacqueline E. Tate, Hannah L. Kirking, Liesl M. Hagan

doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.12.21265796

Background The extent to which vaccinated persons who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 contribute to transmission is unclear. During a SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant outbreak among incarcerated persons with high vaccination rates in a federal prison, we assessed markers of viral shedding in vaccinated and unvaccinated persons.

Methods Consenting incarcerated persons with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection provided mid-turbinate nasal specimens daily for 10 consecutive days and reported symptom data via questionnaire. Real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), viral whole genome sequencing, and viral culture was performed on these nasal specimens. Duration of RT-PCR positivity and viral culture positivity was assessed using survival analysis.

Results A total of 978 specimens were provided by 95 participants, of whom 78 (82%) were fully vaccinated and 17 (18%) were not fully vaccinated. No significant differences were detected in duration of RT-PCR positivity among fully vaccinated participants (median: 13 days) versus those not fully vaccinated (median: 13 days; p=0.50), or in duration of culture positivity (medians: 5 days and 5 days; p=0.29). Among fully vaccinated participants, overall duration of culture positivity was shorter among Moderna vaccine recipients versus Pfizer (p=0.048) or Janssen (p=0.003) vaccine recipients.

Conclusions As this field continues to develop, clinicians and public health practitioners should consider vaccinated persons who become infected with SARS-CoV-2 to be no less infectious than unvaccinated persons. These findings are critically important, especially in congregate settings where viral transmission can lead to large outbreaks.”

 

Then we have this by Professors Norman Fenton and Martin Neil showing that there is no evidence that Covid vaccinations are making an impact upon Covid deaths worldwide.

 

https://probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2022/01/no-fancy-statistics-simply-plot-of.html

 

“No fancy statistics: a simple plot of vaccination rate against Covid death rate for all countries in the world

Using the "Our Word in Data" website we have extracted the latest snapshot for each country of total vaccinations per hundred people and total 'covid deaths' per million. The full data by country - in order of vaccinations - is listed at the bottom of this page (all numbers rounded to 0 decimal places).

We use inverted commas for 'covid deaths' because (as readers of this blog will know) this is a very vague metric and we have no confidence that it is accurate or consistently collected for any country in the world. If the data were accurate, and if the vaccines worked as claimed, then what we should see when we plot the vaccinations against deaths is something like this:

i.e. the more vaccinations in a country the fewer deaths.

Obviously there are multiple confounding factors (other than inconsistent reporting) that can impact on the relationship (timing when covid first hit, average population age, population density, geographial location, access to healthcare, etc) not to mention all the missing factors previously discussed**. Ideally the deaths should also be restricted to post-vaccination roll out (difficult to do that using the Our World in Data spreadsheet). But it is still surprising that the following is the actual plot:

All pretty random*** but note the high number of low vaccination, low covid death countries (mainly in Africa) as shown in this map:

But what it really shows more than anything is how poor all the 'official' covid data are (look at the laughable China data) and, because of the universally poor data, how little evidence there is of either the severity of Covid or the effectiveness of any covid interventions.

**As we have been saying since March 2020 all of the 'official' Covid data are essentially useless because they do not provide us with the necessary information to take account of all of the causal explanations for what is observed:

 

Country	total vaccinations per hundred	total deaths per million
Gibraltar	322	2968
Cuba	268	735
Chile	230	2035
United Arab Emirates	224	216
Iceland	209	108
Denmark	209	560
Isle of Man	208	784
Malta	208	922
South Korea	202	111
Uruguay	200	1771
China	197	3
Cayman Islands	196	165
Faeroe Islands	196	285
United Kingdom	195	2181
Ireland	194	1186
Portugal	191	1864
Belgium	186	2434
Seychelles	185	1324
Bahrain	185	797
Spain	184	1909
Italy	184	2278
France	183	1830
Austria	182	1520
Bermuda	182	1707
Canada	181	798
Israel	180	887
Cambodia	180	178
Brunei	179	222
Germany	178	1336
Norway	178	239
Qatar	178	211
Malaysia	176	961
Singapore	175	149
Finland	175	282
Sweden	173	1507
Cyprus	172	698
Argentina	168	2569
Greece	167	2005
Australia	165	88
Luxembourg	165	1429
Liechtenstein	165	1804
Mongolia	161	619
Kuwait	160	570
Mauritius	160	188
New Zealand	160	10
San Marino	159	2793
Japan	158	146
Switzerland	158	1397
Sri Lanka	158	698
Hungary	156	3934
Netherlands	155	1193
Brazil	155	2894
Turkey	155	968
Lithuania	154	2752
United States	153	2476
Aruba	153	1689
Ecuador	153	1881
Vietnam	151	322
Costa Rica	151	1429
Andorra	150	1719
Bhutan	148	4
Peru	148	6071
Thailand	147	309
El Salvador	147	585
Taiwan	146	36
Maldives	145	482
Saudi Arabia	144	251
Czechia	144	3374
Turks and Caicos Islands	144	586
Fiji	140	772
Slovenia	140	2693
Greenland	138	18
Iran	137	1545
Latvia	137	2443
Morocco	135	397
Panama	135	1696
Anguilla	134	264
Curacao	132	1147
Hong Kong	132	28
Dominican Republic	129	388
Monaco	126	835
Colombia	126	2533
Poland	124	2581
New Caledonia	123	971
Antigua and Barbuda	123	1195
Serbia	120	1840
British Virgin Islands	118	1282
French Polynesia	116	2251
Nicaragua	116	32
Croatia	116	3072
Oman	116	787
Uzbekistan	115	44
Estonia	115	1458
Mexico	114	2299
Slovakia	112	3046
Azerbaijan	111	818
Wallis and Futuna	108	631
Belize	105	1462
Venezuela	105	183
India	104	346
Barbados	104	904
Saint Kitts and Nevis	102	523
Cape Verde	102	625
Tunisia	102	2141
Indonesia	101	521
Montenegro	101	3844
Russia	101	2080
Trinidad and Tobago	100	2054
Rwanda	99	102
Philippines	98	463
Guyana	97	1318
Honduras	95	1037
Paraguay	95	2301
Kosovo	94	1678
Kazakhstan	92	959
Botswana	92	1020
Timor	89	91
North Macedonia	84	3752
Romania	83	3072
Suriname	83	2009
Bolivia	82	1661
Belarus	82	570
Albania	81	1116
Jordan	80	1205
Bangladesh	80	169
Laos	79	19
Bahamas	76	1796
Nepal	74	390
Pakistan	70	128
Grenada	69	1770
Ukraine	65	2354
Lebanon	65	1350
Tajikistan	64	13
Palestine	63	932
Georgia	63	3457
Guatemala	62	883
Sao Tome and Principe	62	255
Montserrat	61	201
Comoros	59	170
Myanmar	58	350
Saint Lucia	57	1600
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	55	728
Armenia	55	2676
Bulgaria	54	4492
Egypt	51	207
Vanuatu	49	3
Zimbabwe	48	332
Bosnia and Herzegovina	48	3590
South Africa	46	1515
Mozambique	46	62
Moldova	44	2556
Jamaica	41	833
Libya	39	819
Iraq	34	586
Angola	34	52
Eswatini	34	1102
Kyrgyzstan	34	423
Lesotho	32	308
Equatorial Guinea	31	121
Namibia	29	1398
Algeria	28	139
Togo	28	29
Gabon	25	125
Ghana	24	40
Congo	23	63
Guinea	21	29
Uganda	21	69
Guinea-Bissau	21	74
Djibouti	20	189
Kenya	18	98
Cote d'Ivoire	18	26
Liberia	17	55
Central African Republic	16	21
Benin	14	13
Senegal	13	110
Afghanistan	13	183
Sudan	12	72
Sierra Leone	11	15
Gambia	11	138
Syria	10	156
Ethiopia	9	59
Somalia	9	81
Zambia	9	197
Malawi	9	120
Nigeria	7	14
Papua New Guinea	6	65
Mali	5	32
Burkina Faso	5	15
Tanzania	4	12
Niger	4	10
Cameroon	4	67
Madagascar	3	34
Yemen	3	64
South Sudan	2	12
Chad	2	11
Haiti	2	66
Burundi	0	3
Mozambique	0	22

 

***For those who place value in correlation coefficients for such relationships (we don't) there is a significant positive correlation of 0.31 between number of vaccines and number of deaths

 Even simpler, here is the mainstream media admitting that there has been a huge spike in Covid cases in US cities with vaccine mandates and masks and all the rest of the Covid freak-out measures:

https://www.foxnews.com/us/cities-with-mask-vaccine-mandates-still-seeing-huge-covid-spikes

“Cases of COVID-19 are surging across the country, including in major U.S. cities that have mandated masks and vaccinations amid the spread of the omicron variant.

New York City averaged 36,856 reported cases per day as of Monday, which is a 517% increase from the average two weeks ago, according to government data compiled by The New York Times.

Weeks before his term expired in December, former New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio announced that effective Dec. 14, the city government would require proof of vaccination for indoor dining, fitness and entertainment from children as young as 5 years old. Beginning Dec. 27, New Yorkers aged 12 and older were required to show proof of two vaccine doses, except for those who have received the Johnson & Johnson vaccine.

New York state, which before had peaked at 251,000 daily cases last January, has been seeing an average of about 400,000 cases daily in 2022, according to The New York Times.

Washington, D.C., which reinstated an indoor mask mandate on Dec. 21, has also continued to see a surge of COVID-19. According to data compiled by The New York Times that was updated Monday, the nation's capital is averaging 2,103 cases per day, which is a 485% increase over the past two weeks and the highest one-week spike of the entire pandemic.

The high number of test positivity rates further indicate that the number of cases in the nation's capital is being "significantly undercounted."

Effective Jan. 15, District residents 12 and older must provide proof of at least one dose of vaccine at restaurants, bars, nightclubs, indoor entertainment facilities, gyms and indoor meeting establishments. By Feb. 15, proof of two doses of vaccine will be required, except for the Johnson & Johnson vaccine.

Other major cities that have seen large spikes of COVID-19 despite mask or vaccine mandates include Chicago, Boston and Los Angeles.

The average daily number of COVID-19 cases in Illinois, which has a statewide mask mandate, surpassed 16,000 for the first time last week, with Chicago boasting the highest infection rate.

Starting Monday, anyone in Chicago aged 5 and over is required to show proof of full vaccination at any public place that serves food and drinks, including bars, restaurants, sports stadiums, entertainment venues, and more. Anyone aged 16 and older will have to show an ID that matches the name on the vaccination record. 

Boston, which has had mask mandate since August, saw a large surge reflected in the numbers that have recently come out of Suffolk County, which has seen a 245% increase in positive cases over the past two weeks. Like Washington, D.C., Boston residents are required to have two doses of vaccine to participate in most public venues by Feb. 15.

With 17,894 cases per day, Los Angeles County has likewise seen a huge spike that reflects an 644% increase from the average two weeks ago. Los Angeles County reimposed a mask mandate in July.”

Or, we consider a report from the German government, that found that nearly 80 percent of reported cases of the Omicron COVID-19 variant in Germany occurred in fully vaccinated individuals:

https://thenationalpulse.com/2021/12/31/vaccinated-21-times-more-likely-to-get-omicron/#google_vignette

“The paper – published December 30th by the German agency the ‘Robert Koch Institute’ – included information on the vaccination status of 4,206 individuals who contracted the latest variant of the virus.

Four thousand and twenty people who reported contracting Omicron in the study – which equates to 95.6 percent of total cases – had received at least two doses of COVID-19 vaccines. The revised data from the German government revealed a 78.6 percent vaccinated rate of Omicron cases.

Originally, only 186 people contracting Omicron were unvaccinated in the entire sample, showing that vaccinated individuals were over 21 times as likely to contract the COVID-19 variant. The new RKI numbers reported 1,097 unvaccinated people, meaning the vaccinated were 3.7 times more likely to contract the variant.

On December 14th, The National Pulse declared the COVID-19 situation worldwide a “pandemic of the vaccinated”.

The Robert Koch Institute report also documented symptoms for nearly 7,000 individuals who tested positive for Omicron, and the majority of people experienced virtually no adverse effects:

“For 6,788 cases, information on the symptoms was provided, mostly no or mild symptoms were reported. 124 patients were hospitalized, four people died.”

The data – which appears to show that vaccines confer no advantage to preventing against contracting the Omicron variant – follows pharmaceutical companies reaching record high levels of lobbying efforts in America, both financially and in terms of hired personnel.

Amidst heavy censorship of those criticizing the side effects and adverse reactions to the COVID-19 vaccine, The National Pulse has also revealed leading pharmaceutical giant Pfizer Inc.’s conflicts of interest with social media platforms including Facebook and media outlets such as Reuters.

The report also follows many cities – including New York City and Washington, D.C. – rolling out vaccine mandates to prevent the spread of the Omicron variant. The Biden White House has also pursued a federal vaccine mandate despite courts blocking the measure and had floated the possibility of requiring the jab for all domestic travelers on airplanes.

 

https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/Wochenbericht/Wochenbericht_2021-12-30