Steve Kirsch: Latest VAERS Estimate: 388,000 Americans Killed by the Covid Vaccines By Chris Knight (Florida)

Steve Kirsch, who has an evidence-based blog critiquing all things Covid, has argued that an analysis of the CDC’s own VAERS data, with an under-reporting factor of 44.64, leads to an estimate of 388,000 Americans killed by the vaccines. Big pHARMa is really going for an all-time knockout record!

https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/latest-vaers-estimate-388000-americans

“An independent derivation of the VAERS URF using the CMS death data leads to a URF of 44.64 which then leads to a 388K excess death estimate.

My estimate of the VAERS under-reporting factor (URF) at 41 was based on anaphylaxis rates reported in the Blumenthal paper published in JAMA.

I have argued that the anaphylaxis rate is an appropriate number to use to (under) estimate deaths because I believed that deaths would be less reported than anaphylaxis to VAERS for two reasons: 1) usually lacks the time proximity to vaccination, 2) the person seeing the death may not know the vaccination status of the victim and may not technically be required to report the death.

Some people have quibbled with that assumption, including my friend Professor John Ioannidis, who argued that there is no evidence that that is true and it could be the other way around. It’s a fair point and I told John it’s only an estimate and I’m happy to modify it when we have more data.

That day has arrived courtesy of Wayne at VAERS Analysis.

Wayne did a URF computation using death data in CMS. This overcomes any objections about the validity of using anaphylaxis rates as a proxy for death rates.

The VAERS URF he computed was 44.64.

This seems reasonable to me. It’s really not far from the 41 I calculated.

Also, Wayne subsequently looked at the numbers for 9 states. The average value was 40, not far from the 41 I calculated from anaphylaxis.

I had two team members (Albert Benavides and Jessica Rose) double check his numbers. No mistake.

Now, let’s see what that means.

As of Dec 14, 2021, there are 9,136 deaths reported into VAERS for domestic deaths (if you are using OpenVAERS, flip the switch at the top to see the US only deaths). If we subtract out more than twice the total number of deaths reported in any previous year (to be super conservative about estimating background deaths):

 

So our new best estimate of the number of “excess deaths” caused by the vaccine is 388,000. Because there isn’t a plausible mechanism of excess death other than the vaccine (certainly our “always vigilant” CDC has never suggested an alternate cause), the process of elimination leads us to conclude the obvious: that these excess deaths were, in fact, caused by the vaccine.

This should really be a surprise to anyone paying attention to the clinical trials.

For example, in the Pfizer trial, you were much more likely to die if you got the vaccine than if you got the placebo. They simply forgot to mention that in the abstract of the paper (and they were incapable of accurately counting the number of deaths in each group as well). In short, the vaccine is a killing machine.

As the clinical trial showed, it was more likely to kill you than to save you. America still refuses to actually acknowledge that fact.

388,000 dead Americans is simply stunning

Today, our best estimate of vaccine fatalities using the VAERS data is that the US Government is responsible for killing 388,000 formerly healthy Americans. For no reason or societal benefit. Under the guise of saving them.

And we’re not done yet. Those kids with myocarditis? Half of them could die in 5 years. We just don’t know. Prion diseases… we don’t know. Autoimmune diseases… we don’t know. Reproductive issues… unknown. Original antigenic sin? Possibly. You get the idea.

By contrast, the Vietnam War was a long, deadly struggle that took place from 1954 to 1975 between North Vietnam and South Vietnam. The U.S. National Archives shows that 58,220 U.S. soldiers perished over the 21 years. Here, we’ve killed more than 6 times as many people in a fraction of the time… just 11 months.

No one in mainstream media will dare talk about this. They won’t even ask the question. Not a single reporter.

Nobody in Congress will discuss it either. I tried to bring this information to the attention of Congressional staff, but they have ignored my requests.

Of course the FDA and CDC have no comment other than they “disagree” with me. They won’t say why. Wow. We have a discrepancy of 388,000 Americans dead and they won’t even say why I got it wrong.

I’m guessing that they can’t say why because I used their numbers (they maintain VAERS and CMS) and their methodology and there were no math errors. So they have to go with the “hand waving” argument that “we disagree” since they can’t go with facts, evidence, data, or methodology errors.

As for all the bogus arguments about VAERS and causality that are used by the “so-called fact-checkers” to attack my work, I thoroughly dismantle those in my 63-page article. That is why none of the people at the FDA or CDC are willing to talk on the record to me: because I know how to dismantle their bogus excuses for looking the other way. They won’t talk to any of my associates either. They just don’t want to hear it.

Let me know in the comments if you find an error.

Finally, I know some of you are still unconvinced by all the data including the stunning athlete data. I’m OK with that. I just have one request. Please consider sharing this article with your social network before you get your booster. OK?”

 

A Columbia University study used an under-reporting factor of 20, to derive a figure of around 400,000 US deaths from the Covid jabs.

 

https://www.naturalnews.com/2021-12-27-study-400000-people-america-died-covid-vaccines.html

(Natural News) Columbia University researchers have found that the true death count from Wuhan coronavirus (Covid-19) “vaccination” is substantially higher than the official figures from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

The CDC claims that only 20,000 people have died from Fauci Flu injections, but Columbia’s underreporting factor estimates that 20 times that number, or around 400,000 deaths, is far more accurate.

The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), a government-run database of vaccine injuries, currently shows around 20,000 deaths and nearly 103,000 hospitalizations from Chinese Virus shots. In total, as of December 3, there are nearly 1,000,000 adverse events logged in conjunction with the jabs.

The problem with VAERS is that it only captures a very small percentage – as little as one percent – of vaccine injuries and deaths. Because of this, scientists often use multipliers to estimate the true count.

An abstract of this latest study on covid injection deaths explains that “accurate estimates of COVID vaccine-induced severe adverse event and death rates are critical for risk-benefit ratio analyses of vaccination and boosters against SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in different age groups.”

For the research, the Columbia scientists used the regional variation in vaccination rates to predict all-cause mortality and non-covid deaths in subsequent time periods. This was based on two independent, publicly available datasets from the United States and Europe.

They found that more than six weeks after injection, covid jabs had a negative correlation with mortality. Within five weeks, however, the jabs predicted all-cause mortality in nearly every age group with an “age-related temporal pattern consistent with the U.S. vaccine rollout.”

“Comparing the study’s estimated vaccine fatality rate with the CDC-reported rate, the researchers concluded VAERS deaths are underreported by a factor of 20, which is ‘consistent with known VAERS under-ascertainment bias,'” reported WND.

Based on these findings, the Columbia team declared that the risks associated with Chinese Virus injections, including the boosters, “outweigh the benefits in children, young adults and older adults with low occupational risk or previous coronavirus exposure.”

They further emphasized that there is an “urgent need to identify, develop and disseminate diagnostics and treatments for life-altering vaccine injuries.”

True covid vaccine death count could actually be more than 820,000

It turns out that the findings of the Columbia study might still represent a major undercount. The true death count from Chinese Virus injections could be more than double even the 400,000 figure.

Steve Kirsch, executive director of the Vaccine Safety Research Foundation (VSRF), recently conducted an analysis comparing anaphylaxis rates published in a study to the rate found in VAERS. Based on this, Kirsch estimates that the true death toll from the shots is more like 41 times higher, or around 820,000.

Using whistleblower data from the CMS (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services), Kirsch’s analysis arrived at an underreporting factor of 44.64, which suggests the death toll could be even higher than 820,000.

This number is higher than the official number attributed just to “covid,” by the way – and we all know that number if highly inflated because everything these days is counted as a “covid death.”

In other words, the number of deaths from the “vaccines” is far higher than the number of deaths from the actual virus (assuming there even is one).

“Probably because an actual autopsy would reveal the spike protein is a synthetic version of HIV, XMRV’s, SIV, Hepatitis C, with an unusually large collection of graphene oxide in the brains and clotting points,” wrote one commenter at Natural News about why few, if any, autopsies are being conducted.

https://www.wnd.com/2021/12/4968311/