Rice was Nice: India’s Rice Ban By James Reed

Here are comparative takes from the mainstream media, and an alternative blog on the significance of India banning export of non-basmati rice (basmati rice is long-grain; non-basmati comes in all sizes), the sort that is mainly eaten in Asia, and the world. India normally supplies 40 percent of this rice for the world, and claims that poor weather is behind the decision. That could be true in part, but I suspect that there is much more to this story that just another climate/weather freak-out. Could it be that India sees the writing on the wall, of approaching World War III, and is moving to stockpile local food supplies? Whatever the cause, food prices will go up even faster now.

Even I intend to buy a big bag of rice this Friday night shopping. Just checked prices on-line; will run to the supermarket now. Well, not run, but walk less slowly than usual. Maybe just settle for good old Aussie rice, and feel national pride in eating it.

https://www.agriculture.gov.au/agriculture-land/farm-food-drought/crops/rice#:~:text=Amaroo%20and%20Millin%20are%20the,specifically%20for%20the%20Japanese%20market.

 

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-22/indias-rice-export-curbs-put-contracts-for-2m-tons-at-risk/102634978

“India's decision to ban non-basmati white rice exports will spur traders to cancel contracts to sell around 2 million metric tons of the grain, worth $1.4 billion, on the world market, dealers have said.

Key points:

  • On Thursday, the government said the ban would be effective from July 20
  • Four dealers confirmed that export contracts worth $1.4 billion could be cancelled
  • India used to sell around 500,000 tons of non-basmati white rice every month

India, which accounts for 40 per cent of world rice exports, on Thursday ordered a halt to its largest rice export category to calm domestic prices, which climbed to multi-year highs in recent weeks as erratic weather threatens production.

Anticipating that the government would impose restrictions on rice exports, traders have obtained letters of credit (LCs), or payment guarantees, over the past few days, said a Mumbai-based dealer with a global trade house.

"But the trade wasn't expecting the government to impose restrictions so soon. It was expecting them to come into effect in August or September," he said.

"As a result, these traders have no choice but to use the force majeure clause to cancel the contract."

Force majeure refers to unexpected external circumstances that prevent a party to a contract from meeting their obligations.

Four dealers confirmed that export contracts of around 2 million metric tons of rice, worth $1.4 billion, are at the risk of being cancelled.

On Thursday, the government said the ban would be effective from July 20, and only vessels currently loading would be allowed to export, not future shipments backed by LCs.

"Traders typically sign contracts in advance, so the contracts signed for the next few months cannot be executed now," Nitin Gupta, senior vice president of Olam Agri India Ltd told Reuters.”

https://michaeltsnyder.substack.com/p/this-is-why-so-many-people-are-suddenly

“Rice is one of the most important staple foods for more than 3 billion people around the world, and the nation of India accounts for approximately 40 percent of all global rice exports.  So if India decides to start placing restrictions on rice exports, that is a really big deal.  Unfortunately, that is precisely what just happened on July 20th.  Less than a week ago, India “banned the export of non-basmati white rice”, and that has created a tremendous wave of panic all over the planet…

The Food and Consumer Affairs Ministry on July 20 banned the export of non-basmati white rice, with immediate effect, to stabilise the volatile retail prices in the country. Rice production has taken a hit owing to vagaries of weather such as heavy monsoon rains in rice-producing States in the north and deficit rainfall in other parts of the country.

Non-basmati rice is by far the most common rice used in Asian and Mexican cuisine.

Normally, an enormous amount of non-basmati rice is exported from India to the United States, but very unusual weather patterns have been devastating crops in key rice-producing areas of India…

But heavy rain in the north of India over the last few weeks has damaged newly-planted crops in Punjab and Haryana states.

Paddy fields have been submerged for over a week, destroying seedlings, and forcing farmers to wait before they can replant the rice seeds.

In other major rice-growing states, farmers have prepared paddy nurseries but have been unable to transplant the seedlings due to inadequate rainfall.

So authorities decided to ban the export of non-basmati rice, and news spread quickly among Indian-Americans here in the United States…

India’s decision to impose a ban on the export of non-basmati white rice has triggered panic buying among NRIs (non-residential Indians) in the US. India accounts for more than 40 percent of world rice exports, and a cut in shipments could inflate food prices in the US.

This is how fast it can happen.

Just days after the export ban was announced, social media was filled with videos of panic buying from coast to coast

Videos and reports shared on social media over the weekend show Indian-Americans standing in long lines or panic-buying rice in Texas, Michigan, New Jersey Alabama, Ohio, Illinois and California.

When people get desperate, they can do crazy things.

In fact, there was one report of some very desperate consumers “wrestling for a bag of rice in Dallas, Texas”

There is a mad rush for rice in the United States after India banned exports. Several Indians were seen wrestling for a bag of rice in Dallas, Texas. Long queues to stock up on rice at supermarkets were also witnessed.

Some of the videos that are currently circulating are just nuts.

I didn’t think that we would see anything of this nature in the United States this summer.

But here we are.

Some retailers responded to this frenzy by dramatically hiking prices on bags of rice.  In one particular case, the price of a bag of rice approximately tripled

The Business Line reported that several grocery stores across America had increased the price of rice bags, seeing the frenzy. The report quoted an NRI as saying that a bag of 9 kg of rice, which used to cost $15-16 (Rs 1,222-1309) earlier, was now being sold at $46.99 (Rs 3,846).

Other retailers responded by placing limits on the amount of rice that each customer could purchase

Other stores unable to keep up with the demand for rice were implementing rationing schemes or deploying innovative methods to stop the panic buying of rice. For instance, the owner of a store stocking Indian products in Mason town in Ohio enforced rationing by asking customers to restrict their purchase to one 20-pound bag (9.07 kg) of ordinary white rice per head, costing $24 (Rs 1,964).

Gouging consumers during a crisis such as this is just wrong, and so I like the second option much better.

Of course it isn’t just the United States where panic buying is happening.

Up in Canada, a grocery store in Toronto has also decided to limit each customer to just one bag of rice

Rice is a staple for billions of people around the world but India has imposed a ban on the export of non-Basmati white rice products. A Toronto South Asian grocery store says it is already feeling the pinch, leading to a spike in panic buying.

“What happened in the last couple of days, it’s only a panic purchase,” Salam Hasan, general manager at Mississauga’s Iqbal Halal Foods, tells CityNews. “We used to have enough for three to four weeks. The stock was sold in just a couple of days.”

Hasan says for the time being the popular South Asian grocery store has implemented a restriction, allowing each family to buy just one bag of rice.

Needless to say, this rice panic is taking place at a time when hunger is rapidly growing all over the world.

According to the United Nations, 2.4 billion people already do not have enough food to eat.

And 900 million of them are facing severe food insecurity.

Now the deal that had allowed Ukraine to ship grain through the Black Sea has been terminated and India has decided to completely ban the export of non-basmati rice.

Global hunger is going to get even worse during the weeks and months that are in front of us, and I am extremely concerned about where all of this is eventually heading.

But you aren’t hearing much about this from the mainstream media here in the United States, are you?

Even though the presidential election is more than 15 months away, our major news networks are obsessively focused on it.

That is extremely unfortunate, because historic changes are taking place all over the world right now, but most Americans don’t even realize that they are happening.”

There were fights over toilet paper in Australian supermarkets during the Covid freak-out, so it is not impossible that fights over rice could occur, with the rice getting spilt all over the floor!

 

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Sunday, 05 May 2024

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