Monitoring Fuel Reserves: One Nation, By James Reed
I was sent this Face Book link, and the info below on how we can monitor Australia's fuel reserves. I have not worked through it all yet, but it seems legitimate, what have checked. This will give us freedom over having to rely upon what comes out of the prime minister's mouth.
https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61583517593512
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There is a website everyone needs to see right now - Fuel Reserve Monitor Go to nzoilwatch.com/au. When you land, tap AU in the top right corner to switch it to the Australian data. It defaults to NZ. This dashboard pulls live data directly from DCCEEW, the federal government's own department, cross referenced against AIS vessel tracking so you can see exactly where tankers are and whether any are actually heading to Australia.
One thing you will notice immediately. The government stock data feeding this dashboard is from 28 March, nearly two weeks ago. The dashboard is not responsible for that. It updates the moment the government publishes their weekly fuel figures. The government controls when that happens. They are now two weeks overdue on their own update. The AIS vessel tracking is live and current. The ship count is real time. But the official stock numbers the government is supposed to publish weekly have not moved in 14 days. Make of that what you will, as one could easily assume that the figures are much worse.
And if you are wondering whether other fuel tracking websites like aussieoilwatch.com or lastdrop.au have more current data, they do not. They all pull from the same DCCEEW source. Every single one of them is sitting on the same two week old government figures. This is not a website problem. It is a government transparency problem.
It is also worth understanding what this data actually measures and what it does not. The MSO figures that feed the dashboard only cover major fuel importers and refiners like Ampol and Viva Energy. Independent retailers are completely invisible to this system. They do not import fuel, they buy from distributors at spot market prices, and they are not required to report stock levels under the Fuel Security Act. So when the dashboard shows you a number, it is missing an entire layer of the supply chain. The independents are the end of the line and the first to run dry, which is exactly what happened in regional Australia. The good news is that the major importers are still bringing fuel into the country through their own supply chains, so this is not yet a catastrophic picture. But the tracking system is fundamentally blind to where the pain is felt first.
And you might reasonably ask why a country that exports more energy than almost anyone on the planet does not have a system that can track every fuel shipment in real time. The honest answer is that Labor and the Liberals never built one because neither of them ever treated fuel security as a priority worth acting on. Decades of closed refineries, outsourced energy policy, and just in time supply chains built by both major parties created this blind spot. The crisis did not create it. It just made it impossible to ignore. And impossible to hide.
Here is what it does show you:
• Live countdown to diesel, petrol and jet fuel exhaustion at current consumption rates
• Exactly how many ships are confirmed heading to Australia right now
• The difference between what the government claims is coming and what can actually be verified
• Live fuel prices at the bowser updated in real time
• Geopolitical risk data including prediction market odds on Hormuz reopening
• The rationing scenario and what stage 4 of the government's own plan actually means
We no longer need to rely on Albo's press conferences and evasive messaging to know what's really going on. The numbers update every 20 minutes and they do not lie. We will be watching it and sharing updates with you. Bookmark it, subscribe and share it with everyone you know.
So, what is it showing right now?
Australia has 25 days of diesel left at current consumption rates. The estimated depletion date is Thursday 7 May 2026. The official government onshore figure is 16.8 days. The rest is made up of refinery support estimates and government linked projections. Named public cargoes confirmed inbound: zero. Publicly tracked tankers confirmed heading to Australia: zero.
In normal times there are 12 ships heading here at any given moment. Right now, the dashboard shows none that can be verified. Petrol is at 34 days. Diesel, 25.8 days. Jet fuel at 25.9 days. Every single fuel type shows zero named visible supply inbound.
https://www.dcceew.gov.au/.../australias-fuel-security
https://www.ibtimes.com.au/australia-fuel-crisis-2026-10...
The dashboard also shows a rationing scenario figure of 160 days when you scroll down to the 'Daily Consumption and Supply Breakdown'' section. Here is what that actually means and why Albo has never explained it to you. The government has an emergency power under the ''Liquid Fuel Emergency Act' called the Petroleum Demand Restraint framework'.
Fully activated, it cuts diesel consumption to about 17% of normal, essential services only, which stretches current onshore stock to approximately 160 days. But activating it requires the Governor General to declare a national liquid fuel emergency, consultation with every state and territory, carless days, purchase limits at the pump, and fuel cards for essential users. It has not been activated.
The government has publicly ruled it out. And here is the part Albo really does not want you to know. His government spent $150,000 of your money trying to keep the rationing policy manual secret through freedom of information suppression. Former South Australian crossbench senator Rex Patrick had to fight to get it released through freedom of information laws.
https://acapmag.com.au/.../petrol-rationing-plan.../
Why is he refusing to declare a national emergency and pull that lever. Three reasons.
1) Declaring it hands Bowen enormous personal power over fuel markets, which invites enormous scrutiny of every decision he makes.
2) A 2020 ABC interview has resurfaced showing Albanese as Opposition Leader directly warning Australia was in breach of its international fuel reserve obligations and should not be dependent on circumstances beyond its control. Declaring a national emergency now is an admission that everything he warned about under Morrison happened on his own watch.
3) He promised the national response would avoid COVID style responses. A formal national emergency declaration looks exactly like one.
So, the 25-day number is what is real right now at the rate we are consuming fuel, the option that could extend it was hidden from you deliberately, and the reason it has not been used is politics.
https://www.dcceew.gov.au/.../nosec-guidance-note-2019...
\https://www.netimes.com.au/.../were-not-there-yet-bowen.../
https://britbrief.co.uk/.../albaneses-2020-fuel-warning...
Around 300 service stations are still out of diesel nationally. Regional areas are worst hit. Farmers are being told to wait two weeks for deliveries. Towns that grow the food on your table ran completely dry. The government's response has been to release emergency reserves, halve the excise temporarily, relax fuel quality standards, and give Export Finance Australia the power to back spot cargo purchases by Ampol and Viva Energy. It is reactive crisis management. It is not a plan.
https://www.ibtimes.com.au/australia-fuel-crisis-2026...
https://www.commbank.com.au/.../fuel-shortages-hit...
While Labor and the Liberals spent the last decade fixated on net zero targets and closing our refineries, other countries read the room. In January 2025, Trump declared a national energy emergency on his first day back in office and began refilling the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, publicly stating energy security was a national security issue, so even back then he had a plan.
China had already been preparing for years. In 2021 Beijing signed a $400 billion 25-year strategic partnership with Iran locking in discounted oil. They built an overland rail corridor to Iran as a backup to Hormuz, launched officially in June 2025. In the two weeks before the war started, Iran tripled its oil export rate. China was the buyer, accelerating stockpiling with oil imports surging 16% in early 2026. By the time the war started China had 109 days of fuel cover. Whether Beijing had advance knowledge or simply read the signals better than anyone in Canberra is an open question.
What is not an open question is that the signals were there for any government paying attention. Iran had partially closed the Strait as a warning shot before the war even began. Australia's government saw all of this and did nothing. Both Labor and the Coalition had decades to fix our reserves and chose not to.
One Nation was raising it in the Senate from 2016 and was voted down every time. The countries that prepared are riding this out. And we're all stuck counting down a clock courtesy of the duopoly.
https://www.bruegel.org/analysis/what-war-iran-means-china
https://www.businesstoday.in/.../beyond-strait-of-hormuz...
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/.../what-a-middle-east...
https://www.energy.gov/.../energy-department-awards...
https://www.openaustralia.org.au/senate/?id=2021-06-22.10.2
Now to the Singapore visit. Albo flew to Singapore on 10 April, toured a refinery in a hard hat, and signed an agreement with PM Lawrence Wong. The deal commits both countries to making "maximum efforts" to meet each other's energy security needs. Singapore provides more than half of Australia's refined petrol and around a quarter of all refined fuels we import. Singapore's PM confirmed they will not restrict exports.
That sounds reassuring. And if you were watching the press conference, it probably felt reassuring too. That is exactly what it was designed to do. But step back for a moment. Singapore saying they will not restrict exports is not the same as Singapore confirming they are sending fuel. It is not the same as a cargo being loaded. It is not the same as a vessel being named. It is a statement of intent from a trading partner who is themselves running their refineries at reduced capacity because their crude comes through the same blocked waterway we are all watching. Albo flew 6,500 kilometres, toured a refinery in a hard hat, held a press conference, and came home with a promise. What he did not come home with is a ship name, a departure date, or a confirmed arrival window.
So here is our simple question for the Prime Minister: when is the fuel leaving port, what vessel is it on, and when does it arrive in Australia.
Because right now the dashboard shows zero confirmed inbound vessels. We have the website. We are watching. If the deal is real, name the ship. Until a vessel is named and confirmed, this is a handshake with a photo opportunity attached.
And here is the problem Albo is not telling you. Singapore's own refineries on Jurong Island are running at reduced capacity because most of the crude oil they refine comes through the Strait of Hormuz, the same waterway that caused this crisis. So even without restrictions, Singapore may simply have less than usual to send. Even if a cargo was loaded today, the voyage to Port Botany takes approximately 10 to 14 days. That puts arrival around 26 April at the earliest, which sits inside our 25-day diesel window. The next two weeks are the critical period.
https://neoskosmos.com/.../pm-eyes-fuel-security-deal.../
https://citynews.com.au/.../australia-inks-fresh-fuel.../
https://tanea.com.au/.../fuel-deal-secured-as-albanese.../
So where does the 160-day rationing lever actually sit in all of this? The government has a four stage National Fuel Security Plan agreed by National Cabinet on 30 March 2026. Here is where we are and what comes next.
Stage 1: Plan and prepare. Albanese declared this already complete before most Australians knew there was a problem.
Stage 2: Keeping Australia moving. This is where we are right now. Voluntary measures, excise cuts, reserve releases, Singapore handshakes, and press conferences. The dashboard is showing 25-days of diesel and zero confirmed inbound vessels while we sit at stage 2.
Stage 3: Taking targeted action. This is where the government directs fuel to where it is needed most, introduces nationally consistent demand reduction measures, and tightens monitoring across the supply chain. Carpooling. Working from home requests. Fuel prioritised to farmers, freight, and emergency services over general consumers.
Stage 4: Protecting critical services. This is where the Liquid Fuel Emergency Act gets declared, the Governor General signs off, Bowen gains direct control over the entire fuel market, and the 160-day rationing framework activates. Purchase limits at the pump. Carless days. Essential users only. It has never been triggered in Australian history, not through the Gulf Wars, not through COVID. Government modelling puts the trigger point at around 10 days of onshore diesel cover. We are currently at 16.8 days official onshore and counting down.
Note what is conspicuously absent from the published plan. The word rationing does not appear anywhere in it. The 160-day scenario does not appear in it. The government's own published plan does not tell you what stage 4 actually means in practice. Rex Patrick had to use freedom of information laws to find that out, and the government spent $150,000 trying to stop him.
https://www.infrastructure.gov.au/.../national-fuel...
We have the website, Albo. We are watching. Everyone should be too.
https://www.pmc.gov.au/resources/national-fuel-security-plan
https://www.smartcompany.com.au/.../australia-fuel-plan.../
https://www.dcceew.gov.au/.../australias-fuel-security
None of this is a surprise to One Nation. Pauline Hanson stood up in the Senate in 2016, the year she returned to parliament, and warned Australia was failing to meet the internationally mandated 90-day fuel reserve. Pauline & Malcolm Roberts raised it repeatedly in the years that followed, including 2020, 2021 and 2022, each time being ignored. One Nation introduced fuel and gas security legislation repeatedly, including an Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Amendment Bill in 2022.
On 5 March 2026, One Nation moved an urgent motion on fuel security in the Senate as the crisis was already unfolding. On 12 March 2026, One Nation circulated the Domestic Reserve Bill 2026 calling for 15% of all Australian gas to be reserved for domestic use. The government blocked debate on it. This is on the public record in Hansard. It is not spin. It is not a meme. You can read it yourself.
https://www.openaustralia.org.au/senate/?id=2021-06-22.10.2
https://www.openaustralia.org.au/senate/...
https://www.openaustralia.org.au/senate/...
Albo just flew to Singapore for a photo in a hard hat. Pauline Hanson spent a years in the Senate trying to stop this from happening and was voted down every time by the same two parties that are now pretending, they have a plan.
We are not waiting for the government's press releases. We are watching the dashboard. We will update you as the numbers move. Share this with everyone you know because the truth is on a screen and it updates every 20 minutes.
TL;DR: 25 days of diesel. Zero confirmed ships inbound. A deal with no named vessel. And a government that ignored every warning for a decade.
Download nzoilwatch.com/au and see for yourself.
