From New Zealand to France: The Face of the Future: Warlords By John Steele
New Zealand is close enough, and culturally similar enough for the problem of gangs to erupt here in Oz as well, as economic collapse will breed desperate and violent people.
“Gangs have existed for decades in New Zealand; their members are a common sight on the country’s roads and truck stops, immediately identifiable in patched vests and riding oversized motorcycles. But years of low-key activity has been shattered by recent wars between rival gangs, and police in the worst-affected parts of the country – on the east coast of the North Island – are wondering just how, and if, they can ever be brought under control again.
Turf wars and recruitment drives
Taradale is Black Power’s small but tightly held island in a sea of Mongrel Mob territory. But outsiders would be hard pressed to know it. Gang patches are banned in the suburb’s public spaces and locals say members usually keep to themselves. The recent conflict has come as a shock after years of the gangs operating discreetly. A 10-minute drive east is the Mongrel Mob headquarters, dwarfing a sparse playground nearby. A huge red billboard depicting the gang’s logo – a bulldog wearing a German “Stahlhelm” helmet – covers the side of the two-storey house. This is Maraenui, Napier’s poorest suburb. More than two-thirds of residents are Maori or Pacific islander and unemployment, poverty and gang affiliation are high. Locals say they’re used to gang warfare – but in recent months it has escalated to an alarming degree. In the weeks following the Taradale shooting police, who are normally not armed in New Zealand, carried firearms on their daily duties, increased patrols and vowed to crack down on gang activities.
They’re young, they’re full of meth. They’re out there looking for trouble
Detective Inspector Mike Foster
While their presence has provided some reassurance, residents also worry that not enough is being done to address the root causes of poverty and crime that have led to an explosion in the local gang population. And they have reason to be worried. Gangs are recruiting more than two members a day, according to police figures. There are now 1,128 patched gang members in Hawke’s Bay and Gisborne – up 40% from two years ago. Dr Jarrod Gilbert, a gang expert from the University of Canterbury, says the groups have thrived on the east coast following the mass migration of Maori from rural to urban centres. Ancestral roots, already damaged by colonisation, were severed for many as they came to work the region’s abundant fields, orchards, farms and factories in the 1950s and 60s. When recessions hit in the 70s and 80s, the jobs went and, with no family to fall back on, the gangs grew, says Gilbert. But after a violent period in in the 1980s, members grew older and had families, and a period of relative calm ensued.
That all changed with the arrival of Australia’s largest motorcycle gang in 2008. The Rebels’ flashy bikes, gold jewellery and sophisticated operation attracted new members in droves. The gangs in Hawke’s Bay envied the Rebels and started their own recruitment drives, while at the same time the methamphetamine trade blossomed, fuelled by the arrival of more gang members deported from Australia under that country’s controversial deportation law. “So we have a small area with lots of new gang members. When it’s crowded someone is going to get elbowed out,” says Gilbert. This turf war is partly to blame for the current problems. The Taradale shooting was a retaliatory act after Mob members, visiting a relative’s grave in January, failed to give warning to Black Power that they would be entering their territory to do so. The convention of phoning ahead before entering another’s patch has ensured peace between the two gangs since 2011. But these conventions appear to be fraying in the fight for territory and dominance. Detective Inspector Mike Foster, who heads the eastern district gang unit, told the Guardian: “They’re young, they’re full of meth. They’re out there looking for trouble. You’ll have one gang go into another gang’s territory on purpose just to provoke them.”
This is just gangs fighting each other, but that is likely to change in the economic collapse, as resource shortages may lead to them becoming predators of normies. Europe, of course is far down that track with the kiddie rape grooming gangs, grenade wars and no-go zones. Speaking of no-go zones:
“Police in Paris no-go zones are becoming overwhelmed trying to maintain the nationwide quarantine and have handed out record numbers of fines. The heavily migrant-populated Seine-Saint-Denis area is proving to be a tough area for police to enforce the nationwide anti-coronavirus quarantine ordered by French president Emmanuel Macron, with police officers admitting that they are overwhelmed. A man guarding a local pharmacy told newspaper Le Temps that many of the residents do not even believe the virus is a threat to them at all. “They do not understand anything. Some even say that this virus is a fable of whites to force them to desert the street,” the man said.”
The coronavirus pandemic will speed up the rate of ethnically-inspired social collapse. What we have is not distinct stages of collapse as Orlov proposed:
but a series of cascading collapse situations, both cultural, social and economic, occurring simultaneously, and feeding off of each other.