How Will the Globalist Stop Le Pen? By Richard Miller (London)

The globalists are nervous that Marine Le Pen will overtake Macron and become president of France. That would then be like having two Hungary’s, which will surely give old Georgie Soros heartburn. So, following on from the antics of the US 2020 election steal, what scam and sham will be pulled to tear victory away from Marine? I an going for the greatest election fraud in French history myself.

www.theaustralian.com.au/world/the-times/a-le-pen-victory-suddenly-looms-large-over-france-and-europe/news-story/f7fc6318a655836acee1f1f014098207?type=curated&position=1&overallPos=1&utm_source=TheAustralian&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=TATodaysHeadlinesSubPM&utm_source=TheAustralian&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=TATodaysHeadlinesSubPM 

“Until a few days ago, few took seriously the idea that Marine Le Pen could become president of France. After all, the last time the right-wing leader of the National Rally party ran in 2017, moderate voters formed a Republican Front to keep her out, just as they had when her father reached the second round in 2002. The same, it was assumed, would happen again. So assured did Emmanuel Macron appear to be of an emphatic victory that the incumbent didn’t even bother to announce his candidacy, let alone start formally campaigning, until just before the deadline in March. At that point, Le Pen was trailing fourth in the polls, behind the right-wing provocateur Eric Zemmour and the veteran leftist Jean-Luc Melenchon.

Now polls show Le Pen only three points behind Macron in the first round on April 10, with one showing her trailing the president by 48.5 per cent to 51.5 per cent in the second round two weeks later. True, Macron remains the clear favourite. But the momentum is with Le Pen. She appears to be benefiting from a collapse in support for Zemmour, whose pro-Putin extremism has had the perverse effect of making Le Pen look moderate, combined with antipathy towards Macron, widely regarded as an arrogant elitist who lacks empathy for ordinary people in a growing cost-of-living crisis.

Suddenly a Le Pen presidency does not look so far-fetched. There’s no question that this would be a political earthquake in Europe, akin to the Brexit vote and Trump victory in 2016. A victory for an anti-immigrant, anti-globalisation populist, this time in one of the eurozone’s core member states, would raise questions about the future of European integration. Given Le Pen’s long-standing pro-Russian sympathies, it would raise questions about the unity of the western alliance over the war in Ukraine, particularly after the victory of Viktor Orban, another Putin sympathiser, in last weekend’s general election in Hungary.

In economic terms, however, a Le Pen victory would be less of an earthquake, at least initially. That’s partly because she is no longer advocating a French exit from the eurozone, as she did in 2017. Instead, she has campaigned on a mixture of anti-immigrant policies and cost-of-living issues. Her manifesto includes promises to cut social security contributions while increasing welfare payments for families. She has also ruled out raising the retirement age or cutting public employment, as Macron intends to do. Much of this is supposedly to be paid for by cutting payments to “foreigners”.

This high-spending programme would do little to address France’s most pressing economic challenge: reducing a government debt to GDP ratio of about 115 per cent. Under a Macron second term, most economists expect debt-to-GDP to fall over the next decade thanks in part to a revival of his reform programme that was stalled by the gilets jaunes protests and the pandemic. As a result of Macron’s successful reforms of the labour market in his first term, France is enjoying a strong recovery, with resilient corporate investment and falling unemployment. The risk is a Le Pen presidency would run bigger deficits and would reverse reforms, leading to lower growth and higher debt-to-GDP.

Yet that assumes Le Pen can deliver her agenda. Under the French political system, there’s not much she can do on the domestic front without a parliamentary majority, which means much hinges on the outcome of parliamentary elections in June. As things stand, not a single poll has suggested that National Rally will win a parliamentary majority. And without a majority, she would have to “cohabit” with a prime minister and government from opposition parties, most likely to come from the mainstream centre-right, including Macron’s party. That would force her to moderate her plans or, perhaps more likely, lead to domestic paralysis.”

Ok, They will neutralise her, if she gets in. much as was done with Trump.

 

 

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Saturday, 27 April 2024

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