Global cooling and the Grand Solar Minimum By James Reed

As readers know I am a climate change enthusiast, not global warming, but global cooling, seeing the planet approaching a solar minimum, maybe even an ice age. Thus, it is important to keep fossil fuels which are the only things saving people from the icy apocalypse that faced Texas, as the silly wind turbines iced up. Here is more balanced reporting on this issue.

http://www.amerika.org/politics/shorting-thermal-energy/

1. “Physical evidence convinces some seriously powerful and seriously smart people. Perhaps NASA has recently seen the “Bat Signal” of an approaching climactic downturn. This comes from an analysis of satellite data from a remote sensing instrument called SABER.

When solar emissions are “hot”, the Earth’s atmosphere emits NO into space. As solar radiative transfer declines, the NO molecules do not receive the energy to hit escape velocity and remain entrained. More NO flux implies hotter atmosphere, resulting from enhanced radiative transfer. And vice-versa. Right now, the NO flux is in decline and near the lowest level observed or derived in eight decades.

Mlynczak and his colleagues have created the Thermosphere Climate Index (TCI), which measures how much NO is dumped from the Thermosphere into outer space. During Solar Maximum the TCI number is very high. At times of Solar Minimum, TCI is low. “Right now, (TCI) is very low indeed,” said Mlynczak. “SABER is currently measuring 33 billion Watts of infrared power from NO. That’s ten times smaller than we see during more active phases of the solar cycle.”

2. People travelling in fairly fast company will plan in advance for anticipated physical consequences of a declining trend in inbound solar thermal energy. The obvious consequence is colder weather. This has both immediate and long term economic impacts. The immediate impact is an intensified demand for energy. Colder temperatures, increase rates of thermodynamic entropy. If you are warm, then the colder stuff around you will suck more energy out of you. Staying warm requires a greater use of energy to avoid getting too cold yourself.
   1. The increased effort to stave off the cold will manifest in two immediate economic trends. Energy costs go up. This leads smarter people to combatin getting their hands on energy producing and energy storage commodities.
      

According to Roskill Information Services, “lithium chemical demand from end-use sectors is expected to increase year-on-year to around 280,000 tonnes lithium carbonate equivalent.” These projections have already begun to have a profound impact on the price of lithium in the marketplace. Lithium prices declined from 2018 through the end of 2020, but since December 1, 2020 the price of lithium has soared 71.24% — and could be poised to climb even higher.

As the precursor commodities needed to produce and store energy go up in price, the end users of energy will pay more for the privilege of not freezing their cans off. We see this with both gasoline contracts (Up 61.48% last 3 months), and Methane Contracts.

1. On an even more direct and personal level, people have to burn more calories to stay warm as temperatures drop. The body does this by consuming larger volumes of food. This means food becomes more scarce, and thereby more expensive. It’s a good deal right now to control the rice bowl. The challenge, of course, is being able to fertilize these crops. Expect this sort of thing to flow downstream to the grocery store.

So why are people bidding up the prices of commodities that are inversely sensitive to cold weather? Because prior history suggests that reductions in temperature make life harder for people. How miserable? Dark Ages miserable.

In the summer of A.D. 536, a mysterious cloud appeared over the Mediterranean basin. “The sun gave forth its light without brightness,” wrote the Byzantine historian Procopius, “and it seemed exceedingly like the sun in eclipse, for the beams it shed were not clear.” In the wake of the cloud’s appearance, local climate cooled for more than a decade. Crops failed, and there was widespread famine. From 541 to 542, a pandemic known as the Plague of Justinian swept through the Eastern Roman Empire. Scientists had long suspected that the cause of all this misery might be a volcanic eruption, probably from Ilopango in El Salvador, which filled Earth’s atmosphere with ash. But now researchers say there were two eruptions—one in 535 or 536 in the northern hemisphere and another in 539 or 540 in the tropics—that kept temperatures in the north cool until 550.

If Nuclear Winter via volcanic eruption seems a bit like a Black Swan, let’s look at a milder version. Barabara Tuchman described The Calamitous 14th Century in France as partially the fault of an agricultural famine. More modern scientific research marks this famine as the first material impact of The Little Ice Age.

Researchers from the Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS) and the Leibniz Institute for the History and Culture of Eastern Europe (GWZO) analyzed the available scientific and historical evidence, to learn more about how the climate was evolving at that time. They revealed in a press release that the extreme cold and heavy rainfall that caused massive crop failures and starvation in central Europe in the 1310s was preceded by a severe drought and accompanying heat wave , which bedeviled the region between the years 1304 and 1307. The time period when both climate event disasters took place is significant. It marks the transition from the relatively high-temperature Medieval Warm Period to the Little Ice Age, when glacial advancement and consistently low temperature readings irrevocably altered the climate of the Northern Hemisphere.

NOAA gives us an example of what you would predict if you had the other side of this hypothetical sunshine trade. Their models project continuous warming and they claim the planet is hotter than it has ever been since daily records were kept. If these proclamations are not extreme enough, then we can peruse the latest pronouncements of the UNIPCC.

The world’s leading climate scientists have warned there is only a dozen years for global warming to be kept to a maximum of 1.5C, beyond which even half a degree will significantly worsen the risks of drought, floods, extreme heat and poverty for hundreds of millions of people. The authors of the landmark report by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released on Monday say urgent and unprecedented changes are needed to reach the target, which they say is affordable and feasible although it lies at the most ambitious end of the Paris agreement pledge to keep temperatures between 1.5C and 2C.

These, however, are the same people predicting that sections of New York City would be under water by 2014. Then there was that Guardian article predicting that snowfalls were a thing of the past. I can only wonder how much insight these pronouncements added to how Texas designed their power grid with respect to potential cold temperatures.

How would a new Maunder Minimum impact a planet with 8 Billion People and a possibly anthropogenic pandemic in progress? Here’s how one person sees it playing out.

If cooling becomes more evident, there will be a rush to restock inventories. China has been a huge buyer of agricultural products. Do their scientists know more than our politicians? Highly likely!…There are about 8 billion people in the world. Imagine how long-term food shortages would affect them? There will be many other shortages of commodities as the world has to adjust to the new reality….Shortages produce much higher prices especially when it comes to essential food. Higher inflation triggers immense changes in the economies and the behavior of people….

Perhaps it’s the increasing likelihood of just this sort of dark winter that is moving several key markets. Smarter investors hoard in front of a highly likely shortage. The people fighting to corner the lithium and agricultural fertilizer markets may well be long certain commodities as a method of going short on solar radiation. It’s not reassuring to see Apple, Google and Tesla all three going short on thermal energy.”

https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/what-lies-ahead-grand-solar-minimum

“On a micro level, the Sun undergoes cycles of around 11 years  known as the solar magnetic activity cycle, which has been studied and recorded by humans for approximately 400 years. During each cycle the number of sunspots peaks and falls in a recognisable pattern. However, this pattern of approx. 11 years is itself part of a much longer solar pattern of solar minimums and solar maximums. For instance the Medieval maximum (grand solar maximum) lasted from 1100-1250 (warm period) and the famous Maunder Minimum (grand solar minimum) lasted from 1645-1715 (cold period). The later was known as a mini  ice age due the particularly drastic drop in global temperatures that affected crop-growth and led to bitter winters for a period of 70 years.

Scientists that study the sun are well aware of these periodic cycles both on the 11 year scale and on the larger scale of 70–100 years, known as the Gleissberg cycle. We have just finished a solar maximum cycle of around 70 years and are now heading into a both a new 11 year cycle and a new grand solar minimum cycle that will reach its lowest (coldest) point some time between 2030 and 2040.  You don’t need to take my word for it – this has been confirmed by NASA and by the National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration (NOAA). NOAA predictions of sunspot and radio flux appears to show a ‘full-blown’ grand solar minimum (GSM) which will last from the late-2020s to at least the 2040s.

This means that the coming solar minimum is going to be not only a grand solar minimum, but perhaps the worst one since the Maunder Minimum in the 1600s. One would expert this to have been front-page news, but outside of the scientific community this information is virtually unheard of and little understood. One must ask – why is this the case? The simple answer to this question is that the solar predictions destroy the current scientific and cultural narrative of ‘Climate Change’ in the form of warming.

There will indeed be climate change in the coming decades, but for the next 10 to 40 years it is going to get colder, not warmer! The same thing will happen on the 7 other planets in this solar system, because the main factor affecting planetary temperatures is the activity of the Sun. Given that so much time, effort and money has been invested in ‘global warming’ as a premise for change in how human society is run, it is very much an “inconvenient truth” that is beginning to arrive just at the time when we are beginning to take more affirmative action on environmental issues.

The controversial news that the Earth (and all 7 other planets) will cool down in the next 10-40 years is politically highly inconvenient and that is why it is being kept quiet. Getting rid of fossil fuels, caring for our environment, lowering industrial output, ending industrial farming and reducing livestock, plus a gradual reduction in the human population are all excellent goals.  Unfortunately, the rationale for doing this, that has been sold to the public, is most likely entirely misguided.  The net effect of this false premise may well be that environmentalists and main-stream public scientists will look like fools by the end of this decade. The cooling of planet Earth may well be seen as justification to abandon environmental concerns and reform of our economic systems, which would be a terrible tragedy.

In order to avoid this highly likely total embarrassment, world governments and the scientific community need to admit that the coming dip in solar energy output is going to lead to the cooling of our planet for at least 2 decades, possibly 4 or 5 or even 7 decades!  This is not conspiracy, this is not mis-information or propaganda – this is proven, verifiable fact which can be validated by current solar observation, previous observation of sun cycles for 400 years and ice-core samples stretching back millions of years.

As someone who has been involved in the environmental movement since I was 16, when I joined a conservation group at college, I am very concerned about how this plays out. If the public feels that they have been lied to it may lead to a backlash and a disinterest in environmental issues. The reasons I outlined at the beginning of this article are more than sufficient for humanity to change its modus operandi. One does not need to concoct highly improbable narratives about the world ‘burning up’ within decades to justify environmental activism. In fact the coming GSM is likely to produce similar negative effects to predicted ‘global warming’, such as habitat loss, loss of farming land, a drop in food availability, migration, social unrest and possibly other problems too.

It is time that the whole ‘climate change’ theory was re-assessed and the known solar activity cycle as observed by NOAA and NASA taken into account. To fail to do so is total folly and only creates another problem, that will come back to haunt us if the grand solar minimum is ignored.  We do need to take better care of our world and learn to live far more harmoniously within it, but we need to base our actions on good science and not on misleading or inaccurate information.”

What the climate change narrative change over the next few years to reflect this, and how the globalists will be using global cooling to their advantage, arguing for a New World Order to keep us warm!