Covid Vaccine Side Effects are Not Rare By Brian Simpson

According to the mainstream Covid narrative, Covid vaccine side effects are rare. But what is “rare”? An answer comes from the Israeli Ministry of Health who did a proactive survey of people who got the booster rather than using a passive surveillance system like the health agencies of other governments. It was found, among other things, that: 0.3 percent of people reported hospitalization as a result of the adverse effects; 4.5 percent of respondents reported neurological problems; nearly 10 percent of women under age of 54 had disruptions to their menstrual cycle, and approximately 25 percent of people with pre-existing auto-immune disorders, depression or anxiety reported a worsening of their symptoms following the booster.

 

Adverse effects from the Covid vaxxes, is thus, far from “rare.” Steve Kirsch, commenting on this says that this data alone indicates that the Covid vaxxes have been a disaster, and should be stopped immediately. Instead the vaccine drive intensifies.

https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/how-rare-are-vaccine-side-effects?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozNDkxODExMCwicG9zdF9pZCI6NDkwODExNzMsIl8iOiJYYzY0RSIsImlhdCI6MTY0NTQ5NTc1NCwiZXhwIjoxNjQ1NDk5MzU0LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNTQ4MzU0Iiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.PnaYPwvjg4ze-NSjRMFzCbflOG1Z7lfn-u8jhMryGWc&utm_source=url

“How rare are vaccine side effects? Not very rare at all.

The CDC and Wall St. Journal both say serious side effects from the COVID vaccines are extremely rare. They are lying. But now we have unassailable proof from the Israeli government!

This article, by Wall Street Journal staff writer Jenny Strasburg (see Covid-19 Vaccines Were Deadly in Rare Cases. Governments Are Now Weighing Compensation) says:

Serious side effects so far have been very rare—estimated at roughly one to 11 per 100,000 doses for some of the more serious harmful reactions identified by regulators in the most-affected age groups, according to U.S. and European government officials and researchers. They include blood clotting, nervous-system disorders and heart problems, all of which also can be caused by Covid itself.

Similarly, a story in The Epoch Times entitled “US Agencies Quietly Studying Reports of Post-Vaccination Neurological Issues” also revealed that there are some side-effects and they are really rare, but the CDC is studying them. That article says this:

The CDC lists only one adverse event as likely having “a causal relationship” with a vaccine. That’s TTS and the Johnson & Johnson shot.

The CDC and Wall St. Journal are both lying to you. Big time.

The truth is the vaccines are an unmitigated disaster. The most dangerous vaccines in human history. They should be immediately halted.

But the mainstream media is completely silent and totally ignored this study because it goes against the narrative.

Here’s the proof… right from the Israeli Ministry of Health

The latest proof of that comes from the Israeli Ministry of Health who did something that no government agency has ever done before: did a proactive survey of people who got the booster (instead of using a passive surveillance system like everyone else does). This is the only way to get true rate data since you know the denominator.

The reason no government ever did this before is because they knew it would show the vaccines were a disaster. So if they never looked, they can plausibly say, “we had no idea.”

Obviously, something went wrong and the government of Israel did a proactive survey, something all governments in the world should have done at the very start of the vaccination program.

For passive surveillance, you are always estimating underreporting factors.

For active surveillance, no estimates are required. You see the real data. The only thing you don’t get is death data because dead people don’t answer their phone.

In this case, 2,068 people provided answers. Could it be biased? Yup. The results at worst could be over stated by a factor of two. And even with that fudge factor it doesn’t matter because the rates are off the charts.

Here is the original report which you can download from the MOH Telegram channel.

Highlights of the Israeli report

  1. 3% of people reported hospitalization as a result of the adverse event they experienced.
  2. 5% of respondents reported neurological problems
  3. Nearly 10% of women under age of 54 had disruptions to their menstrual cycle
  4. About 25% of people with pre-existing auto-immune disorders, depression or anxiety reported a worsening of their symptoms following the booster.

I have a great first-hand data point on neuro issues. I know a neurologist group with 20,000 patients. About 1,000 have new or worsened neurological issues after vaccination. So this is a 5% rate vs. the 4.5% in the study.

 

Summary: The vaccines should be stopped now

The Israeli MOH study is just another nail in the coffin for the vaccine. It shows the vaccines are not safe and should be stopped immediately.

The Israeli MOH study confirms numerous other data points (doctor event reporting rates, VAERS, DMED, life insurance company data, telltale blood clots, huge vaccine victim Facebook groups, the Peter Schirmacher study, and a military doctor who is seeing a 1 in 100 rate of myocarditis post vaccine).

https://galileoisback.substack.com/p/translated-israeli-moh-survey-of?utm_source=url

https://jackanapes.substack.com/p/the-israeli-ministry-of-health-actually-db7?utm_source=url

“Well surprise, surprise. The Israeli Ministry of Health (MoH) conducted an actual survey of about two thousand people 3-4 weeks after they received the third (booster) shot of the Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine, asking them about the adverse events they experienced following vaccination. The results are absolutely devastating to the COVID-19 vaccine program and the push for vaccine mandates. They come to me from my brother-in-arms. ‘Galileo is Back’.

The survey report was released last week (Feb. 9) and from what I could find it is not available on the MoH website but only via a website for medical staff only, so it is not publicly available. (Correction: it was released on the MoH Telegram channel.) The report was greeted by the media mainly with near dead silence, aside from a couple of articles downplaying the adverse events as mild and transient.

This is after more than a year that every talking head on TV and every newspaper large and small assured the Israeli public that they were monitoring the safety of the vaccines and that they were obviously extremely safe because there were very few reports and most of them were extremely minor and you were a crazy conspiracy theorist to doubt it.

Of course the MoH, along with the CDC, completely ignores the unambiguous and unprecedented safety signals emanating from the US Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (VAERS). Never mind that the passive, voluntary adverse events reporting system that the MoH put into place, which basically nobody knew about, was a complete farce. They took a page from the Pharma playbook by deliberately failing to gather data appropriately so they could turn absence of evidence into evidence of absence.

The MoH didn’t have to look further than their own Facebook page to find plenty of evidence. On Sept. 30 they put up a Facebook post deriding all the “fake news” on social networks about side effects and touting the safety of the vaccines: only 19 serious adverse events reported out of 3 million booster doses, which might not even be related to the vaccine. The post was quickly flooded with thousands of comments from people describing in detail the severe adverse events they or their loved ones had experienced after the booster and previous doses (see here for automated translation of many of them). Somebody at the MoH apparently panicked, because they quickly started deleting hundreds if not thousands of comments. They were caught ‘in the act’ by people reading the comments who took videos of them being deleted, one by one. There are currently 27,000 comments on that post. It is unknown how many were deleted.

And apparently it had never occurred to the MoH to investigate why so many people never returned for the second dose, despite losing eligibility for the green pass or the right to work in countless workplaces requiring vaccination. One careful calculation I’ve seen estimated that by June 2021, there were about 180,000 people who had never returned for the second dose—a number that excludes people who recovered from a SARS-Cov-2 infection. That’s over 3% of people who were vaccinated with one dose and eligible for the second at that time.

At the FDA advisory committee hearing on Sept. 17 to decide whether to approve the booster shot, Israel’s data on the 3rd dose played a starring role — including their safety data. It was extremely safe, they assured the FDA, as they had received so few reports, even less than the first two doses! And even most of the ones they did receive were not caused by the vaccine, including this woman in her 60’s who had a stroke immediately after receiving the booster dose. Why wasn’t it causally related? Because they said so.

While the FDA panel applauded Israel for being an exemplary laboratory (I wish I was joking), they nevertheless decided that the Israeli data was insufficient to approve the booster for people under 65. The MoH was undeterred. Thanks in part to the new policy requiring a third dose for “green pass” eligibility that prompted many reluctant young Israelis to go in for dose #3 along with the army forcing it on draftees, they were able to return to the FDA the following month (Oct 14) with more data they had gathered on the effectiveness and safety of the booster dose in younger populations, again with the same conclusion: extremely safe. Like so, so safe. Never mind all those pesky Facebook posts and people who never returned for dose 2.

Meanwhile, the survey they were conducting on adverse events after the booster, which paints a completely different picture about its safety profile, was wrapping up and would be finished less than two weeks later on Oct. 25th. It’s worth noting that the MoH had ample time to analyze the survey data before recommending the 4th booster dose on January 25.

So what do the survey results tell us about the safety of the booster dose? And what can they tell us about the extent to which the existing Israeli vaccine safety monitoring system was undercounting adverse events? And can we use them to estimate the underreporting factor for some events in VAERS? (Short answers: horrible safety, massively undercounted, and yes we can!)

Here are some of the most important takeaways from the survey. Further down I’ll present all the results and conclude with some discussion of unreported events:

  • 29% of people reported hospitalizationas a result of the adverse event they experienced. Not just the emergency room, but actually being hospitalized. Think this is impossibly high? Read this footnote.1If the numbers are wrong, the MoH needs to say so and explain how they messed up.
    • Israel has administered about 4.5 million booster doses so far, which equates to over 13,000 hospitalizations.
    • Over 92 million booster doses have been distributed in the U.S., which equates to nearly 270,000 hospitalizations.
    • [Note, in a previous version I had mistakenly put the hospitalization rate at 0.5%, which is the rate among people who experienced any adverse event.]
  • 29% reported that they had difficulty performing daily activities as a result of the adverse event.That is 44% of the 66.4% of the sample that reported at least one adverse event. Like in VAERS, women were more likely to report than men (75% vs. 58%) and also more likely to report difficulty in daily functioning (51% vs 35%).
  • 5% of respondents reported neurological problems(again, more women than men), including:
    • Bell’s Palsy (0.5%)
    • Blurred or disturbed vision (0.5%)
    • Seizures/Convulsions (0.15%)
    • Loss of consciousness (0.2%)
    • 16% of these neurological problems occurred within an hour of vaccination, an additional 27% within 24 hours, and 47% were ongoing by the time of the survey 3-4 weeks after vaccination.
    • In the US, this translates to 460,000 cases of Bell’s Palsy and blurred or disturbed vision, 135,000 seizures and 180,000 people losing consciousness.
    • Have you ever heard of a vaccine that is associated with seizures in 0.15% of adults who take it — let alone one that is mandated by many colleges and workplaces?
  • About 25% of people with pre-existing auto-immune disorders, depression or anxiety reported a worsening of their symptomsfollowing the booster. Five to ten percent of people with diabetes, hypertension, and lung & heart disease also reported a worsening of their condition.
  • Nearly 10% of women under age of 54 had disruptions to their menstrual cycleafter the booster (apparently they did not ask women above this age). About half of those women reported that the problems persisted at the time of a follow-up interview, which was anywhere from 10-16 weeks after vaccination.
    • Of these, 31% sought medical treatment as a result and 9% were on medication for it.
    • Notably, 39% of these women reported similar disruptions following prior doses, of whom 1/3 (which is a little over 6% of all women under the age of 54) were still experiencing symptoms at the time of the 3rd dose. Given that the vast majority of vaccinated Israelis were “fully vaccinated” by the end of March and the booster campaign for that age group didn’t get into full swing until late August, this means that these women were likely experiencing these symptoms for somewhere between 4-months.
  • How badly did the Israeli vaccine adverse event reporting system undercount adverse events? We can calculate an approximation by comparing the MoH’s Sept. 25 report on adverse eventsfrom this system to the survey results to calculate an “underreporting factor” (URF). If the URF is 100, this means you have to multiply the number of reported events by 100 to approximate the true number of adverse events.2It’s especially important to know the URF when public health officials disingenuously play down the risks of a medical product by saying that there have been very few reports of adverse events, while knowing full well that the true number must be much larger. The only question is — how much larger?
    • The URF varies from a low of 1,700 for loss of consciousness to 48,800 for difficulty breathing. Some other highlights: a URF of 6,500 for seizures, nearly 6,000 for Bell’s Palsy, and over 4,000 for blurry or disturbed vision.
    • Actually the URF was even higher for some milder, general AE’s and for local site reactions: 54,000 for chest pains, 230,000 for limited arm movement, and 540,000 for injection site pain. That these types of AE’s are so underreported is hardly surprising: the public was told to expect these kinds of reactions, and for the most part they are relatively minor (though note in the last table below how long some of them persist for).
    • Note that these URF’s cannot be applied to VAERS, for two reasons:
      • The underreporting in Israel is probably much worse than in the US for a variety of reasons.
      • Israel does not conform to the international classification standard for AE reporting. The US, UK and Europe use the MedDRA system. The Israeli MoH apparently decided to make up its own classification system and continues to use it, for reasons unknown. So comparison to other countries is difficult.

Still we can use the survey results to estimate VAERS underreporting for three specific adverse reactions: Seizures, Bell’s Palsy, and shingles (herpes zoster).

  • VAERS URF for Seizures/Convulsions is 731:
    • As of Feb. 11, there were 243 reports of seizures and convulsionsreported in VAERS that occurred within 30 days of receiving the booster dose in the US and territories (143 of these were after Pfizer).
    • As of Feb. 11, about 91 million booster doseshad been administered in the US, of which about 50 million were from Pfizer.
    • The rate of per million doses of seizures/convulsions in the MoH survey was 1952 (see footnote 3 for method of calculation).
    • From that rate the expected number of seizures/convulsions after the booster in the US by Feb. 11 is 177,600.3
    • 177,600/91 = 731. If we want to make a strict apples-to-apples comparison, we need to look at reports after Pfizer only, in which case the URF is 683.
  • VAERS URF for Bell’s Palsy is 3,034:
    • As of Feb. 11, there were 161 cases of Bell’s Palsy listed in VAERS(95 of these were after Pfizer).
    • The rate per million doses of Bell’s Palsy in the MoH survey was 5,368.
    • The expected number of cases of Bell’s Palsy after the booster is 488,500.
    • 488,500/161 = 3,034. For Pfizer it’s 2,825.
  • VAERS URF for shingles (herpes zoster) is 401.
    • As of Feb. 11, there were 332 cases of shingles reported in VAERS(196 after Pfizer).
    • The rate per million doses of herpes zoster in the MoH survey was 1,464.
    • The expected number of Herpes Zoster cases after the booster in the US is 133,200.
    • 133,200/332 is 401. For Pfizer only it’s 373.

 

 

 

 

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Thursday, 31 October 2024

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