When the grid fails, the pumps run dry, or Pine Gap burns, will Australia turn to Labor—or to the conservatives who warned us? The 2025 Australian federal election, handing Labor a landslide with 53% two-party-preferred, conceals a nation perilously unprepared for a black swan event—a catastrophic crisis like a People's Liberation Army (PLA) fuel blockade halting Singaporean imports, an attack on Pine Gap, or a Carrington-level electromagnetic pulse (EMP) event. From a Christian conservative nationalist perspective, Australia's reliance on foreign fuel, exposure to CCP aggression, and fragile electrical grid, combined with Labor's secular globalism, leave it vulnerable. The Liberal Party's collapse, driven by internal sabotage and Teal-chasing moderation, has ceded ground to Labor's complacency. A unified minor party alliance, as championed by George Christensen, is the only path to force minority Labor governments, preserving Australia's soul until a crisis awakens the faithful to the need for sovereignty and faith-based leadership.
Australia's strategic, economic, and technological vulnerabilities make it a sitting duck for black swan events:
Fuel Import Reliance: Australia imports 90% of its petrol and diesel, with 60% from Singapore. A PLA blockade in the South China Sea, as modelled in 2024 CSIS wargames, could halt supplies within days, crippling transport, food supply chains, and hospitals. The nation's 21-day fuel reserve would vanish, paralysing cities like Sydney and Melbourne.
Pine Gap Exposure: The U.S.-Australian intelligence facility in Alice Springs, vital to Five Eyes, is a prime target in a U.S.-China conflict. A 2023 RAND report flagged its vulnerability to hypersonic missiles. An attack—nuclear or conventional—would devastate central Australia and expose Labor's weak defence posture.
Carrington EMP Risk: A Carrington-level EMP event, like the 1859 solar storm that disrupted global telegraph systems, could fry Australia's electrical grid, satellites, and electronics. A 2022 CSIRO report warns that a similar coronal mass ejection (CME) today would disable power for weeks to months, costing $1 trillion in damages. Australia's grid, with 80% of substations unprotected against EMPs, is unprepared. Critical infrastructure—hospitals, water pumps, telecommunications—would fail, leaving 80% of urban Australians stranded.
Urban Concentration: With 80% of the population in coastal cities, any disruption would trigger chaos. The 2021 Sydney lockdown riots, sparked by shortages, foreshadow the panic a fuel or power crisis could unleash.
These risks are amplified by the 2025 Chinese warship circumnavigation, which Anthony Albanese downplayed, as noted previously. Labor's CCP-friendly ties—exemplified by Albanese's CBANSW lunch and Penny Wong's United Front engagements—further undermine preparedness.
Labor's 2025 agenda sidesteps these existential threats, prioritising progressive policies over security:
Defence Neglect: Labor's 2025 budget allocated only 2.1% of GDP to defense, below NATO's 2.5% benchmark. The unfulfilled pledge to strip China's Landbridge of the Port of Darwin lease leaves strategic assets exposed.
Grid Vulnerability: No federal plan exists to harden the electrical grid against EMPs. The 2023 Australian Energy Market Operator report notes only 10% of transformers are EMP-resistant, and no national stockpile exists for replacements. Labor's renewable energy push, diverting $20 billion to solar and wind, ignores grid resilience.
Economic Dependence: Labor's trade stabilisation with China, lifting $20 billion in tariffs, deepens reliance on Beijing, which controls 85% of iron ore exports and leases three ports. A CCP-orchestrated economic or fuel squeeze could cripple Australia's $1.7 trillion economy.
Social Distractions: Abortion expansions and gender ideology in schools, opposed by 60% of Christians in 2024 YouGov polls, divert focus from crisis preparedness, weakening the moral resolve needed for resilience.
The 2023 Voice referendum's failure (60% "No") exposed Labor's urban bias, but its WeChat-driven Chinese-Australian vote (65–70%) secured victory. This complacency leaves Australia unready for a shock.
The Liberal Party's 2025 rout—29% primary vote, down from 35% in 2022—renders it useless against these threats. Internal sabotage, as George Christensen highlighted, saw moderates derail Peter Dutton's campaign with leaks and a Teal-focused strategy, alienating suburban and regional voters. Their net-zero concessions, Voice ambivalence, and silence on grid security betrayed their Christian base, driving a 5–6% swing to minor parties like One Nation (8% nationally) and Trumpet of Patriots (5% in Queensland). The Liberals' failure to challenge Labor's CCP ties or propose fuel diversification and EMP defenses confirms their irrelevance.
A Black Swan's Potential
A black swan event could shatter Labor's grip and spark a conservative revival:
PLA Fuel Blockade: Halting Singaporean imports would empty fuel stations in weeks, spiking prices to $5/litre and halting 70% of freight. The 2022 fuel price protests show how outrage could turn against Labor's CCP-friendly stance, boosting minor parties' economic nationalism.
Pine Gap Attack: A strike would kill thousands, disrupt Five Eyes, and highlight Australia's U.S. reliance. ASIO's 2024 CCP cyber threat warning suggests physical attacks are plausible, amplifying calls for sovereignty.
Carrington EMP Event: A solar storm or high-altitude nuclear EMP could collapse the grid, disabling power, water, and communications for months. The 2019 Queensland blackout, affecting 500,000 homes, was a minor preview. Public panic would expose Labor's unpreparedness, shifting 20–25% of its vote to conservatives, as seen in Canada's 2025 election post-port strike.
Computer modelings estimates a 12–18% chance of such an event by 2030, with EMP risks rising due to solar cycle 25's peak (2025–2026) and geopolitical tensions. The 2021 Suez Canal blockage, disrupting 12% of global trade, shows supply chains' fragility.
Minor parties—One Nation, Australian Christians, Trumpet of Patriots—are Australia's last hope. Their 10–12% vote in 2025, with 65–70% preferences to the Coalition, shows potential. A cooperative alliance, as previously proposed, can force minority Labor governments, stalling their agenda until a crisis hits:
Menzies Pact: Unite on sovereignty, faith, and resilience—opposing net-zero, hardening the grid, diversifying fuel sources. Target seats like Flynn (12% One Nation) and Reid (10% minor party vote).
Church Mobilisation: Leverage 5 million Christians to register 500,000 voters and promote candidates, as in the 2017 plebiscite's 38% "No" vote. Push EMP preparedness in sermons, citing Proverbs 22:3: "The prudent see danger and take refuge."
Digital Strategy: Use Christensen's 50,000-subscriber platform and X to warn of CCP and EMP risks, countering Labor's WeChat dominance.
Computer analysis suggests a 55–65% chance of a hung parliament by 2028, with minor parties winning 5–10 House seats if preferences align. The Canadian Reform Party's 1993 surge offers a model.
From our perspective, Australia's vulnerabilities are a spiritual crisis—forsaking God for Labor's secularism and CCP-aligned globalism. Jeremiah 6:14 warns of leaders crying "peace, peace" when there is none. Minor parties, rooted in faith, must rally believers to resist Labor's agenda and prepare for upheaval. A black swan could be God's call to repentance, but only if conservatives lead with courage.
Australia's countdown to a black swan—fuel blockade, Pine Gap attack, or Carrington EMP—exposes Labor's complacency and the Liberals' irrelevance. With no grid protections, 90% fuel imports, and CCP risks, the nation is unready. A minor party alliance, fuelled by churches and Christensen's voice, can force minority governments, preserving Australia's Christian soul until a crisis demands change. The clock is ticking—will conservatives rise before disaster strikes?