We have been told by Bill Gates that another pandemic is on the way, one far worse than Covid, meaning, that we little people will be punished even harder. Now there are projections and probabilities made by the UK National Security Risk Assessment, that puts the probability of another pandemic within five years as 1 in 4, which is very high. But, it is probably higher, because given the dream run the Democrats had with electoral fraud in 2020, thanks to the Covid plandemic, expect another repeat. As an old ad once said, when you are on a good thing, stick to it.
https://inews.co.uk/news/chance-pandemic-next-five-years-new-risk-register-2522996
“There is up to a one in four chance of another pandemic occurring within five years, according to new Government analysis of potential major threats facing the UK.
The National Security Risk Assessment, which weighs up almost 90 potential vulnerabilities, was declassified by ministers on Thursday.
It said that artificial intelligence (AI), drone attacks on critical infrastructure and the prospect of future disruption to energy supplies by a hostile Russian regime are among the main threats facing Britain.
The register spelt out a worst-case scenario for each threat and calculated both an impact and a likelihood rating for them occurring.
The most severe threats were defined as having a “catastrophic” impact. They include the potential for a future pandemic, which was given a likelihood rating of 5-25 per cent, meaning there could be as high as a one in four chance of another major outbreak occurring by 2028.
The register said a fresh pandemic may be worse than Covid and could affect half of the population, with an estimated 1.34 million people needing hospital treatment and up to potential 840,000 deaths.
Other “catastrophic” events include large-scale chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear attacks and the failure of UK electricity transmission, which were each given a “remote” 1-5 per cent chance of happening.
The Cabinet Office said it has published the material to help Britain to prepare for “worst-case scenarios” rather than “sweep them under the carpet”.
The register, which is the first of its kind drawn up since 2020, includes the first mention of threats directly related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, such as the risk of cyber or drone attacks.
It also detailed the threat posed by Russia over gas supplies to western Europe. It comes after President Vladimir Putin triggered an energy crisis last year as European countries scrambled to find alternative supplies in the face of sanctions on the Kremlin.
The dossier also warned of the threat to underwater telecommunications cables that power the internet following reports that these have already been probed by Russian vessels.
It said a worst-case scenario would see “considerable disruption to the internet”, including essential infrastructure such as financial services and payment systems going offline.
The Government report also includes an assessment of a “miscalculation” by another country with nuclear weapons, such as India or Pakistan.
It said this would likely be triggered by the false belief that an attack is imminent, causing a country to “miscalculate” the risk of full-scale war and escalate a conflict to the nuclear level.
It also described AI as a “chronic risk” for the first time, meaning it poses a threat over the long-term, rather than an acute threat such as a terror attack.
Ministers believe the advanced technology could at some stage pose an acute security threat, if it were used to launch a cyber attack on the country.
Climate change, antimicrobial resistance and serious organised crime were identified as other chronic threats in the report.
Meanwhile, “moderate” threats include terrorist attacks in public spaces and an attack on an ally that would require international assistance. Both were given a 25 per cent chance of happening – the maximum likelihood.
The risk of a radioactive accident at one of the UK’s nuclear power stations was also examined, alongside the rupture of a large reservoir or dam, the deliberate disruption of UK space systems, and extreme UK temperatures, particularly excessive and prolonged snow in winter.
The “declassification” of information on major risks follows a wider shift towards transparency by the Government, as part of efforts to bolster the UK’s resilience.
Government sources said the decision to publish the document in full was partly to allow outside experts to “challenge” their assumptions and make it easier for companies and public sector organisations to draw up contingency plans.
Oliver Dowden, the Deputy Prime Minister, said: “This is the most comprehensive risk assessment we’ve ever published so that Government and our partners can put robust plans in place and be ready for anything.””