As we all know, the media have worked with the mainstream science establishment to firmly plant in the minds of the public, through the aid of the equally corrupt universities, that there is a climate change apocalypse happening right now, which can only be averted through radical social and political change. Among these changes is the ending of the fossil fuel economy, and movement to renewables, and nasty things like the end of meat eating and conventional farming. But, are we really in a world of impending disasters as the UN proclaims, a world of "global boiling" and super-storms?
As noted by leading Aussie climate change critic, Jo Nova, studies have indicated that disasters have in fact, contrary to the alarmism of the UN, decreased by 20 percent. The claims of increased disasters made by the UN agencies can all be explained by better reporting with the advances that have been made in IT, and added concern to actually record weather events. Yet, this obvious point is not addressed by the UN, because the UN runs upon the fear generated by apocalyptic reports, as its political weapon. Yet it is a bit like the boy who cried wolf, where there were no wolves around, or even wolves living in the country at all, like in Australia.
https://joannenova.com.au/2024/06/global-deaths-and-disasters-down-un-shameless-lies-up/
"Despite a galactic rise in Headlines of Doom, the world is a safer place than ever. The United Nations however is an absolute danger to our quality of life and our children's mental health. They've shamelessly concocted the myth that disasters are increasing due to "climate change".
NetZeroWatch report on a new paper on natural disasters and find that yearly deaths are down. Somehow satellites, phones, antibiotics, bulldozers and fire trucks are better at saving lives than horse drawn carts and hessian bags. Who would have guessed, apart from everyone?
Below [see the original link] the graph of natural disaster events shows a huge increase in the reporting of disasters, at least up until the turn of the century. But there is, if anything, a decline since then. There are three very different trends. But the giant bureaucratic sponge that is the United Nations can shamelessly draw a straight linear trend through this graph and tell the world that disasters are getting worse, even as they are obviously not.
In the last twenty years, humans have put out 40% of all the CO2 emissions they've ever put out since they lived in caves, but disasters have decreased 20%. It used to be that 20 year trends were enough to launch a new UN committee, but now the only trend-length that matters is the one that goes "up".
Another pair of analysts point out the CRED (Centre on the Epidemiology of Disasters) was only set up in 1973 and the EM-DAT database was only established in 1988. (Ritichie and Rosado). Even the CRED team itself has warned people about reading too much into these trends, yet practically every separate wing of the UN has done exactly that. The FAO said "disaster events have increased from 100 per year in the 1970s to around 400 events per year worldwide in the past 20 years." The UN Chief said "natural disasters have quadrupled since 1970." Then the UNFCC took his misinformation and repeated it. A few years ago the WMO said "The number of disasters has increased by a factor of five over the 50-year period." The BBC and The Economist lapped it up. Too many mistakes are never enough.
In 2019, the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) opined about the "'staggering rise in climate-related disasters over the last twenty years'" proving only that lying UN agencies are a bigger threat to the science than the entire fossil fuel industry ever was.
The rise in all of these disasters is mostly because people got better at reporting disasters. Back in 1901 if a cyclone landed in Ecuador, nobody rang up the UN, which didn't exist, on phones that weren't installed, to tell them about it. And when global population was five times smaller in 1900 tornados could wander the prairies and sometimes no one would notice. Droughts could strike rivers and unless the fish complained, who would know?
Suspiciously geophysical disasters (like earthquakes and volcanoes) have also increased "since 1900" and at about the same rate and with the same "break point" in the trend. Obviously our gas guzzling cars are not causing earthquakes and beef-steak doesn't set off volcanoes. So the rapid increase in these sorts of disasters in the 1970s and 1980s supports the theory that the rapid rise an artefact of data collection. There's a lot more detail on that in the paper.
Meanwhile, the relentless good news on global crops continues.
If there really were more storms and frosts and devastating floods, you'd think the rice paddies and cornfields of the world would have noticed.
Yet here they go again, growing 2 to 4% more grain year after year.
Alimonti and Mariani don't mince their words — the increase is just "better reporting":
We conclude that the patterns observed are largely attributable to progressively better reporting of natural disaster events, with the EM-DAT dataset now regarded as relatively complete since ∼2000. The above result sits in marked contradiction to earlier analyses by two UN bodies (FAO andUNDRR), which predicts an increasing number of natural disasters and impacts in concert with global warming. Our analyses strongly refute this assertion as well as extrapolations published by UNDRR based on this claim.
The claim that the increase in disasters registered in EM-DAT in the final part of the twentieth century is mostly, if not completely, caused by better reporting and not by a real events increase, is supported by three independent lines of evidence: (a) several CRED reports (Guha-Sapir et al., 2004; Scheuren et al., 2008; CRED, 2015); (b) best fit analysis that found an important breakpoint and even a change in the trend sign of natural disasters at the beginning of the 21th century, in agreement with what is written and justified in point a; (c) the same trend change and breakpoint for geophysical disasters that have very little, if anything, to do with human activities or global warming.
But it's also "better blindness". If the BBC, The Economist, and all the other sycophant agents of groupthink and power-mongers asked for "a graph" (with all the data) the facade would fall over in a week."