A Newspoll, which used the actual indigenous Voice referendum question, has found that 46 percent of voters surveyed said that they would vote in favour of the Voice referendum, 43 percent would vote no, and 11 percent were undecided. This is still an early tend, but a good one for us of the no camp, as it indicates that the Voice can be chipped away at, and destroyed. What we have is a highly biased Left-wing media pushing the yes case, but at the end of the day, this is reaching the usual audience who would vote for anything woke, anyway.
The idea is to win over the majority of states, so New South Wales and Victoria are probably going to be hard to turn. Even then, the referendum would fail. So, everyone, keep getting the no case out at the grassroots. Simply ask: if this was really such a good idea, then it would have been put in by parliament decades ago. Why the radical proposal of changing the constitution? Sow the seeds of doubt, because these seeds are real.
“Less than half of eligible Australians now say they will vote in favour of a referendum to enshrine a voice to parliament and executive government in a troubling sign for the yes campaign and Anthony Albanese’s ambitions to secure constitutional recognition for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.
An exclusive Newspoll conducted for The Australian shows only 46 per cent of voters approve of altering the Constitution to give effect to an Indigenous voice as proposed by the federal government.
With opinion almost equally divided, 43 per cent of voters said they would vote no, while 11 per cent said they didn’t know.
The exclusive poll follows the passage of the voice referendum legislation through the house of representatives last week.
It is the first Newspoll survey to present voters with the precise question they will be asked at the ballot box when the referendum is held this year.
Past Newspoll surveys showing support for a voice to parliament above 50 per cent were based on a more general question.
The new survey suggests that the contest is now closer than previous polls have suggested, with the referendum poised to go either way with clear generational divisions now emerging amid a schism between regional Australia and the capital cities.
Leading the case for the Yes vote were women voters, young voters and the city-based university educated. Men were narrowly more likely to vote No, with regional, non-university educated and the over 50s leading the strongest opposition to the voice.
While 63 of Coalition voters were opposed, almost a quarter of Labor voters also intended to vote No.
Indigenous leader Noel Pearson on Sunday launched an attack on Opposition Leader Peter Dutton, labelling as “duplicitous” his claims that enshrining the Indigenous voice to parliament in the Constitution would divide and “re-racialise the nation”
Mr Pearson moved to allay fears over the workings of the voice, saying parliament would have the power to overhaul the body and replace it with something else should the original model not work as intended.
The Prime Minister remains confident that the Yes campaign will prevail, last week saying that Australians would be driven by an instinct for a “fair go”.
“Not because I am innately an optimist but because of who we have shown ourselves to be,” he said in his Lowitja O’Donoghue Oration.
“That instinct for fairness – the great Australian instinct for the fair go that defines us – remains fundamental of our identity.”
Mr Albanese also said that Australians would not succumb to scare campaigns about how the voice would operate.
“Australians won’t succumb to their appeals to fear and their ever more ludicrous invitations to jump at our own shadows,” he said.
“That’s because Australians have a healthy scepticism of doomsayers, a scepticism kept in good health by memories of all the predictions offered by the Chicken Littles of the past.” However, the Newspoll survey of 1549 voters, conducted between May 31 and June 3, shows significant opposition to the referendum question being posed.
The Newspoll question asked voters: “Later this year, Australians will decide at a referendum whether to alter the Australian Constitution to recognise the First Peoples of Australia by establishing an Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice. Do you approve this proposed alteration?”
The Newspoll survey shows a geographic and cultural divide over the voice, with 48 per cent of regional voters opposed and 42 per cent in favour. These numbers were reversed among metropolitan voters with 48 per cent approval of the proposed alteration and 40 per cent against.
On gender lines, 47 per cent of women approved the change to the Constitution compared to 40 per cent who didn’t. Male voters, however, were split 46/45 per cent with a slight advantage for the No vote. The voting intentions were also clearly split along party political lines, reflective of the increasingly hostile political debate, with 64 per cent of Coalition voters opposed compared to 63 per cent of Labor voters and 71 per cent of Greens voters in favour.
A deep level of antipathy was also evident among voters identifying with minor parties and independents – a large proportion reflected by supporters of Pauline Hanson’s One Nation – with 64 per cent opposed.
Mr Albanese also faces a generational challenge in ensuring a successful outcome. Among younger voters, 65 per cent of 18 to 34 years are in favour and to a lesser degree, 53 per cent of 35 to 49 years. But this turned sharply among the older age brackets with 55 per cent of 50 to 64-year-old voters opposed to the voice and 61 per cent of over-65s.
When broken down to educational demographics, university-educated voters were more likely – 56 per cent – to vote Yes. Those with skills-based qualifications and/or no tertiary education were more inclined to vote No.”