Research published in the medical journal, The Lancet, which is big on the climate change alarmist issue and health, has proposed that falling birthrates in the UK will require mass immigration until the 22nd century! This, the paper says, will be a "staggering social change." So where will the next generation of "rocket scientists," or rather, Great Replacement migrants, come from? Why, from the high population regions of Africa and the Third World.The article rejected the idea that pro-natal policies will be adequate; nothing beats mass immigration, "open immigration will become necessary."
Three points in reply. First, we have a debate about artificial intelligence replacing jobs, so why is there a concern for mass immigration if these people are simply going to be replaced anyway? Second, the present intake of the Third World has been a general disaster for Europe. We can expect more of the same, especially as if present trends continue until the 22nd century, there will be no Europe left at all, and the Third World would have just moved to Europe. Third, IQ data should be considered here; the average IQ of Sub-Saharan Africa as reported by Lynn and Becker is 68.92; the UK, 100. Lynn, R., & Becker, D. (2019). The Intelligence of Nations. London: Ulster Institute for Social Research.
https://zinahissa.medium.com/list-of-african-countries-by-iq-95b2c3befd40
COUNTRY……………………….IQ
1.Libya………………………..90.92
2.Mauritius…………………..86.56
3.Sudan………………………78.87
4.Seychelles………………….78.76
5.Tunisia……………………..79.22
6.Madagascar………………..76.79
7.Uganda…………………….76.42
8.Egypt……………………….76.32
9.Algeria……………………..76.00
10. Kenya………………………75.20
11. Angola……………………..75.10
12. Tanzania…………………..74.95
13. Zimbabwe…………………74.01
14. Burkina Faso………………73.80
15. Mozambique………………72.50
16. Niger……………………….70.82
17. Rwanda…………………….69.95
18. Benin……………………….69.71
19. Botswana…………………..69.45
20. South Africa……………….68.87
21. Eswatini……………………68.87
22. Lesotho…………………….68.87
23. Eritrea……………………..68.77
24. Zambia…………………….68.43
25. Ethiopia……………………68.42
26. Djibouti……………………68.41
27. Nigeria…………………….67.80
28. Cameroon…………………67.76
29. Somalia……………………67.67
30. Morocco…………………..67.03
31. Namibia…………………..66.19
32. Sao Tome Principe……….65.22
33. Congo, Democratic Rep….64.92
34. Congo Republic…………..62.97
35. Gabon……………………..62.97
36. Central African Rep………62.55
37. Togo……………………….59.83
38. Mali………………………..59.76
39. Mauritania………………..59.76
40. Malawi…………………… 59.70
41. South Sudan………………58. 61
42. Cote d'Ivoire………………58.16
43. Ghana……………………..58.16
44. Guinea…………………….53.48
45. Cabo Verde………………..52.50
46. Gambia ……………………49.78
47. Liberia……………………..45.07
48. Sierra Leone……………….45.07
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/a9d72233-c76b-4986-9583-189dc8acebc5
"Plummeting birthrates will leave Britain heavily reliant on immigration for the remainder of the century, according to research published in The Lancet.
A global study found that birthrates had "tumbled" in all major western nations since 1950 and forecast that this trend would continue until 2100, leading to "staggering social change".
To maintain public services and economic growth, high-income societies including the UK will have no choice but to rely on an influx of immigration from poorer countries in Africa with higher birthrates, the study concluded.
It said adopting "pro-natal" policies such as free childcare could provide a "small boost" to the number of babies born, but this approach would not be enough to sustain populations, meaning "open immigration will become necessary".
A team of international researchers led by the University of Washington examined data from 204 countries showing trends in fertility rates — the average number of children had by women in their lives. To maintain the current population without immigration, birthrates must sit at the "replacement rate" of 2.1 children per woman.
The UK's fertility rate has fallen from 2.19 in 1950 to 1.85 in 1980 and 1.49 in 2021, one of the lowest rates in western Europe. The study forecasts that this decline will continue, dropping to 1.38 in 2050 and 1.3 in 2100, posing "enormous challenges" in how to care and pay for an ageing population.
This "dramatic" decline in birthrates has been mirrored around the world, as improved education and contraception mean women are having fewer babies than ever . By 2050, three in four countries are expected to have a shrinking population.
Sub-Saharan Africa is one of the few areas where a "baby boom" is continuing, and the region's population is set to keep growing. Niger, for example, is forecast to have a fertility rate of 5.15 in 2050. The study found that more than half of all the world's babies would be born in sub-Saharan Africa in 2100, up from about a quarter in 2021.
Dr Natalia Bhattacharjee, lead author on the study, said the dwindling working-age population in western nations would create "fierce competition for migrants to sustain economic growth".
She said: "The implications are immense. These future trends in fertility rates and live births will completely reconfigure the global economy and the international balance of power and will necessitate reorganising societies."