Since the November US stolen election, there have been ,many mathematical and statistical analyses of various results calling the election intro question, the latest such statistical critique Out of Bounds: Irregularities in the 2020 Presidential Election, claims “the evidence will show that it was statistically improbable — ‘out of bounds’ — that Democrat candidate Joe Biden could’ve won the 2020 presidential election.”
https://www.infowars.com/posts/special-assignment-election-theft/
“A statistical analysis provided exclusively to Church Militant on Tuesday demonstrates the unlikeliness of a genuine Donald J. Trump loss last November.
The report, called Out of Bounds: Irregularities in the 2020 Presidential Election, claims “the evidence will show that it was statistically improbable — ‘out of bounds’ — that Democrat candidate Joe Biden could’ve won the 2020 presidential election.”
https://www.churchmilitant.com/pdf/PDFIZE.pdf
OUT OF BOUNDS: THE IMPROBABLE RESULTS OF THE 2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Domenico Ruggiero ABSTRACT This report assesses the 2020 presidential election between Donald J. Trump and Joseph Biden. After describing the scenario of the election analysis and the pre-election polling, the first part of the assessment will examine classic bellwether states that have historically been extremely reliable predictors of the eventual winner: Florida, Iowa and Ohio. The second part of the assessment will focus on a historical and statistical examination of five key battleground states. These five states won by President Trump during the 2016 Presidential Election flipped to the Democrats in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Taken together, the evidence will show that it was statistically improbable — “out of bounds” — that Democrat candidate Joe Biden could’ve won the 2020 Presidential Election. Eight Key Points 1. Trump and Biden were essentially tied: There was a total of 538 total electoral votes up for grabs. This excludes 73 electoral votes — which are tied to five key battleground states that flipped in this election. Joe Biden secured 233 electoral votes compared to Donald Trump’s 232 electoral votes. 2. Trump outperformed the polls in the bellwether states: The last available polling numbers showed Trump was winning the three bellwether states of Florida, Iowa and Ohio. The actual results had Trump exceeding those predictors by as much as 6.2%. 3. Unexplained failure of reliable bellwether states: The bellwether states of Florida, Iowa and Ohio had been historically useful in predicting the outcome since at least 1976. Furthermore, the three-state average has been in 100% agreement with the election winner from 1976 to 2016. In 2020, Trump won these three bellwether states by a significant margin — which would suggest all three were wrong for the first time in at least 44 years. 4. Polling showed Trump winning in four of the five key battleground states: The last available polling numbers going into the election showed Trump winning the majority of the five key battleground states by as much as 5%. 5. Arizona and Georgia: Democrats have not won the states of Arizona or Georgia since Bill Clinton won them in 1996 with the aid of thirdparty candidate Ross Perot, who took votes away from Republican candidate Bob Dole. In 2016, Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Arizona and Georgia by 3.5% and 5.1%, respectively. Pre-election polling for the 2020 election similarly showed Trump beating Biden in Arizona and Georgia by 3% and 5%, respectively. With the reported results in these states, Biden achieved an outcome that only had a 0.042% probability of occurring. 6. Biden overperformed in Republican-leaning states but underperformed in Democratleaning states: Biden reportedly achieved an upsetvictory in Arizona and Georgia, yet at the same time underperformed in the three Democrat-leaning states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. 7. Trump’s chances for victory were 60% to Biden’s 40%: The conservative analysis described in this assessment will show that when examining the 32 possible combinations of winner/loser outcomes of these five key battleground states, Trump would achieve victory 60% of the time compared to Biden’s 40%. Trump’s chance for victory is 1.5 times greater (150%) than Biden’s chances of victory. 8. Biden’s 1 out of 4,173 longshot of sweeping all five states: Democrat candidate Joe Biden reportedly won all five of the key battleground states, yet this analysis will show he only had a 1 out of 4,173 (or 0.024%) chance of this outcome.”