In the annals of modern political history, few statistics capture the seismic undercurrents of societal transformation as starkly as this one: a Rasmussen poll conducted in early September 2025 reveals that 56% of likely U.S. voters now believe the COVID-19 vaccines have likely caused a significant number of unexplained deaths. With nearly one-third (32%) viewing this as "very likely," and only 35% dismissing the notion outright. What was once relegated to the fringes of discourse, derided as "conspiracy theory," has crossed into the realm of majority consensus. This isn't merely a poll result; it's a meta-political earthquake (meta-politics: the politics of politics itself), signalling profound shifts in trust, authority, and the very architecture of power in American democracy. As we dissect its implications, we uncover not just a reaction to a specific health crisis, but a broader reconfiguration of how citizens perceive, challenge, and reshape institutions.

At its core, this statistic underscores a profound erosion of faith in the pillars of expert authority, particularly in science and public health. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and broader government health apparatus, once bastions of unassailable credibility, now face a public reckoning. The poll's finding that 50% of voters believe these officials deserve criticism for their pandemic handling, with 42% advocating for CDC firings, isn't isolated, it's symptomatic of a meta-political realignment where deference to "elites" is giving way to populist scrutiny. This isn't anti-science per se; it's a demand for accountability in an era where perceived overreach (mandatory vaccinations, censored dissent) has bred resentment. Historically, such distrust has motivated movements from Watergate to the Iraq War intelligence failures, but here it's amplified by the digital age's transparency paradox: social media and alternative outlets have democratised information, allowing once-marginalised narratives to permeate mainstream consciousness. The result? A polity no longer willing to accept top-down edicts without question, forcing institutions to adapt or risk obsolescence.

This shift also illuminates the meta-politics of narrative control and the death of the "Overton window," of social acceptability. In the pandemic's early days, questioning vaccine safety was pathologised as misinformation, enforced by Big Tech censorship and media gatekeeping. Yet, as excess mortality data, whistleblower accounts, and anecdotal evidence accumulated, the window of acceptable discourse widened, irrevocably. The poll's cross-partisan appeal (70% of Republicans, 46% of Democrats, 54% of independents) and even stronger resonance among Black (64%) and Hispanic (57%) voters compared to whites (54%), reveal a coalition of the sceptical that transcends traditional divides. This isn't just about COVID; it's a harbinger of how fringe ideas achieve legitimacy through persistence and evidence accumulation, challenging the meta-political monopoly of legacy media and establishment experts. In a post-truth landscape, where subjective experience often trumps official narratives, this statistic marks the triumph of bottom-up epistemology over elite-imposed orthodoxy. Politically incorrect as it may sound, it substantiates a growing recognition that institutional capture, by pharmaceutical interests or ideological biases, has valued profit and control over public welfare, eroding the social contract.

The rise of figures like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as HHS Secretary exemplifies this dynamic's electoral ramifications. With 45% favourable views among voters, particularly strong among Republicans and independents, RFK Jr. embodies the meta-political archetype of the outsider reformer: a Kennedy scion who weaponises establishment credentials against the establishment itself. His support correlates directly with vaccine scepticism; over 70% of those who "strongly believe" in vaccine-caused deaths want CDC accountability, positioning him as a vessel for this populist backlash. This isn't mere opportunism; it's a structural pivot. Traditional party lines blur as health policy becomes a litmus test for authenticity, rewarding leaders who amplify public grievances over those who defend the status quo. Democrats' sharp turn against him highlights intra-party fractures, while the broader appeal foreshadows a realignment where issues like bodily autonomy and institutional reform eclipse old ideological battles. In meta-political terms, it signals the decline of technocratic governance, where unelected experts wield outsized power, in favor of a more direct, if messy, democratic accountability.

Yet, the significance extends beyond U.S. borders, touching on global meta-politics of sovereignty and information warfare. America's vaccine scepticism, now mainstream, could inspire similar awakenings worldwide, challenging the WHO's and Big Pharma's hegemonic, influence. Domestically, it risks deepening polarisation: while it empowers the disaffected, it may entrench echo chambers, complicating consensus on future crises. Still, the poll's timing, mere months into a new administration, suggests an inflection point. If unaddressed, this distrust could cascade into broader cynicism toward government, from elections to climate policy; not all bad. Conversely, if leaders like RFK Jr. deliver transparency (e.g., independent investigations into vaccine data), it might rebuild fractured trust, modelling a hybrid governance that integrates public input with expertise.

In sum, this 56% statistic is no footnote; it's a meta-political manifesto. It chronicles the ascent of citizen sovereignty in an age of institutional fatigue, the mainstreaming of dissent, and the reconfiguration of power from centralised authority to distributed scrutiny. As America grapples with the ghosts of the pandemic, this poll doesn't just reflect opinion, it redefines the rules of engagement, demanding a politics that listens before it lectures. Whether this leads to renewal or rupture remains to be seen, but one thing is clear: the era of unquestioned expertise is over. Three cheers for that!

https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/majority-of-americans-now-suspect

By Nicolas Hulscher, MPH

Public opinion is shifting—and they want action.

A new Rasmussen survey of 1,158 likely U.S. voters—conducted September 7–9, 2025, with a ±3% margin of error—reveals that 56% believe side effects from the COVID-19 shots have likely caused a significant number of unexplained deaths. Nearly one-third (32%) say it's very likely. Only 35% still dismiss the idea.

This shows that what was once called a "conspiracy theory" has become the mainstream view. The majority of Americans now believe vaccine harms are real and widespread.

Support for HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. reflects this shift. Half of voters (50%) say government health officials deserve criticism for their handling of the pandemic, while 42% even think CDC employees should be fired for their role in misleading the public. Among those who strongly believe the shots caused deaths, over 70% want CDC firings.

Partisan divides remain—70% of Republicans, 46% of Democrats, and 54% of independents think the vaccines likely caused deaths—but the skepticism crosses party lines and racial groups. In fact, black (64%) and Hispanic (57%) voters are even more likely than white voters (54%) to suspect deadly vaccine effects.

According to the survey, RFK Jr. is viewed favorably by 45% of voters, with strong support among Republicans and independents, even as Democrats turn sharply against him.

The takeaway: A credible, nationally representative poll now confirms most Americans believe COVID-19 shots have killed many people, and they want accountability from the CDC and government health leaders.