The article from The Focal Points (published January 1, 2026, by Nicolas Hulscher, MPH, an epidemiologist associated with the McCullough Foundation) claims that three independent estimates converge on 470,000–840,000 U.S. deaths caused by COVID-19 mRNA vaccines (primarily Pfizer and Moderna). It frames this as evidence of a massive, under-acknowledged catastrophe, calling for bans on mRNA injections, treatment for the injured, and accountability measures. The piece draws from sources aligned with vaccine-skeptical perspectives (e.g., Ethical Skeptic's analyses, VAERS interpretations, and extrapolations from Florida data) and promotes related advocacy, including the "Make America Healthy Again" (MAHA) agenda.

Here are the three estimates as presented in the article:

1.CDC Mortality Data via Ethical Skeptic Analysis: Using weekly CDC WONDER data on non-COVID natural-cause deaths (anchored to a 2014–2019 baseline and adjusted for "pull-forward" effects), this identifies a sharp rise in excess deaths starting around Week 14 of 2021 (coinciding with mass vaccination). The estimate is approximately 844,000 mRNA-associated deaths as of June 21, 2025, with ongoing excess of 2,000–4,000 deaths per week.

2.VAERS-Adjusted Estimate: CDC's VAERS system reports about 19,355 U.S. vaccine-associated deaths. Applying a "conservative" under-reporting factor of 31 (based on historical evaluations of passive systems), this extrapolates to roughly 600,000 actual U.S. deaths.

3.Florida Department of Health Cohort Study Extrapolation: A Florida study (n=1.47 million) reportedly showed a 36% higher non-COVID all-cause mortality rate for Pfizer recipients vs. Moderna recipients. Extrapolating this conservatively to ~150 million U.S. Pfizer recipients yields about 470,000 excess deaths from Pfizer injections alone.

The article argues these converge in the 470k–840k range, exceeding combined U.S. combat deaths from WWI, WWII, and Vietnam, and describes it as a "sustained mass-casualty event" with genetic/long-term harms ignored by federal agencies.

Of course, the mainstream narrative continues to be, that the COVID vaxes saved millions of lives, with few casualties. It is a dream narrative that flies in the face of reality.

https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/three-independent-estimates-yield